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Crawford Rule Brainteaser

Posted By: AP
Date: Friday, 21 December 2012, at 7:08 p.m.

In Response To: Crawford Rule Brainteaser (AP)

Wow a lot of great responses already, so I guess I will post my analysis now.

Clearly, the Crawford Rule helps the Leader when he reaches the Crawford Game, so it seemed intuitive to me that the leader should always benefit from having the Crawford Rule in effect. However, like many of the posters have figured out, it seems the trailer actually benefits from having the Crawford Rule in effect at the {-2,-3} score, so he is actually willing to pay to keep the Crawford Rule on. Based on my calculations, the trailer is willing to pay up to ~$3.60 to keep the rule in effect.

Also, I want to point out that I did not just find this effect at {-2,-3}. The Crawford Rule at {-4,-5} hurt the leader even more than at {-2,-3}, and there were several other scores where the Crawford Rule decreased the leader's MWC.

Now if I could only get myself to spend 10% of the time studying actual bg as opposed to doing this type of mental buffoonery, maybe I could finally get my PR in the single digits ;)

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