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Simple Probability Problem

Posted By: Rick Janowski
Date: Monday, 24 December 2012, at 5:52 a.m.

In Response To: Simple Probability Problem (Jake Jacobs)

According to the "logist curve", I believe the odds would be 9 to 1 on for the favorite (90% probability).

If alternatively, the normal distribution is used, I think the odds would be about 11.28 to 1 on for the favorite (91.13% probability).

Messages In This Thread

• Simple Probability Problem
  Jake Jacobs -- Monday, 24 December 2012, at 2:08 a.m.
  • Simple Probability Problem
    John O'Hagan -- Monday, 24 December 2012, at 5:04 a.m.
    • I am probably going to regret this...
      rory -- Monday, 24 December 2012, at 5:20 a.m.
    • Simple Probability Problem
      John O'Hagan -- Monday, 24 December 2012, at 6:42 a.m.
  • Simple Probability Problem
    Rick Janowski -- Monday, 24 December 2012, at 5:52 a.m.
  • Simple Probability Problem
    lenny -- Monday, 24 December 2012, at 6:28 a.m.
    • Simple Probability Problem
      Rick Janowski -- Monday, 24 December 2012, at 9:19 a.m.
      • Simple Probability Problem
        Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 25 December 2012, at 12:13 a.m.
  • Simple Probability Problem
    Tom Keith -- Monday, 24 December 2012, at 1:58 p.m.
    • Simple Probability Problem
      Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 25 December 2012, at 12:34 a.m.
    • Simple Probability Problem
      Rick Janowski -- Wednesday, 26 December 2012, at 6:20 a.m.
      • Simple Probability Problem
        Tom Keith -- Wednesday, 26 December 2012, at 3:07 p.m.
      • Simple Probability Problem
        Timothy Chow -- Thursday, 27 December 2012, at 6:55 p.m.
  • Simple Probability Problem
    Neil Robins -- Monday, 24 December 2012, at 2:52 p.m.
  • Simple Probability Problem
    Jake Jacobs -- Tuesday, 25 December 2012, at 4:12 a.m.
    • Simple Probability Problem
      Rick Janowski -- Tuesday, 25 December 2012, at 6:25 a.m.
    • Simple Probability Problem
      Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 25 December 2012, at 8:03 p.m.