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Introducing Neil's Rule of .6

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Saturday, 29 December 2012, at 5:11 a.m.

In Response To: Introducing Neil's Rule of .6 (poseidon)

When dealing with small winning percentages in lopsided matches one needs at least 1 decimal pt for the small ME.

My formula gives 2.44% (KAZ XG2 says 2.45%)

So the formula is 2.45/(2.45+33).

I'll leave it to you do the math and see that now the TP is over 7%.

I know many mental math tricks to get approximations. When dealing with a difference in lopsided ratios like this and increasing the small figure by a smallish ammount..(ie 22%) you can just about increase the previous result by the same ammount..ie increase 5.71% by 22% and instantly you see it is over 7%.

Re: formulas...I've tried to work out something for 2 away scores, but haven't been happy with it. One of these days..I'll work harder on it.

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