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Rollout Results

Posted By: Paul Weaver
Date: Friday, 11 January 2013, at 4:32 p.m.

In Response To: New Jersey Masters: Falafel vs Senk (Paul Weaver)

Thanks to Mike for posting the Nactation.

Position 1.





White is Senk

score: 0
pip: 153
11 point match
pip: 147
score: 0

Blue is Falafel
XGID=-b-B--E-C---cC--bb-d-b--B-:0:0:1:53:0:0:0:11:10
Blue to play 53

1.Rollout113/5eq: -0.383
Player:
Opponent:		40.64% (G:13.62% B:0.97%)
59.36% (G:20.16% B:1.43%)		Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.398...-0.367) - [100.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 40 seconds
2.Rollout113/8 6/3eq: -0.488 (-0.105)
Player:
Opponent:		38.33% (G:12.14% B:0.90%)
61.67% (G:20.51% B:1.04%)		Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.501...-0.474) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 04 seconds
3.Rollout113/10 8/3eq: -0.494 (-0.111)
Player:
Opponent:		37.84% (G:12.59% B:0.80%)
62.16% (G:20.26% B:1.34%)		Conf.: ± 0.014 (-0.508...-0.479) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 05 seconds
4.3-ply13/10 13/8eq: -0.535 (-0.152)
Player:
Opponent:		36.43% (G:10.76% B:0.59%)
63.57% (G:19.47% B:1.44%)
5.2-ply8/5 8/3eq: -0.561 (-0.178)
Player:
Opponent:		35.90% (G:10.65% B:0.57%)
64.10% (G:22.03% B:1.59%)
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.04, MET: Kazaross XG2

Position 2.





White is Senk

score: 0
pip: 145
11 point match
pip: 133
score: 0

Blue is Falafel
XGID=-b-D--D-C---bB--abbd-b-AA-:0:0:-1:00:0:0:0:11:10
White on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 68.35% (G:27.20% B:1.20%) 68.70% (G:27.55% B:1.28%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 31.65% (G:9.49% B:0.76%) 31.30% (G:9.41% B:0.78%)
Cubeless Equities +0.552 +1.147
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.753 (-0.166)±0.012 (+0.740..+0.765)
Double/Take:+0.919±0.019 (+0.900..+0.938)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.081)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 5 minutes 32 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.04, MET: Kazaross XG2

Position 3.





White is Senk

score: 0
pip: 145
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 133
score: 0

Blue is Falafel
XGID=-b-D--D-C---bB--abbd-b-AA-:1:1:-1:12:0:0:3:0:10
White to play 12

1.Rollout17/5 6/5eq: +0.284
Player:
Opponent:		64.97% (G:23.16% B:1.41%)
35.03% (G:12.36% B:1.18%)		Conf.: ± 0.011 (+0.273...+0.296) - [100.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 19 seconds
2.Rollout19/8 6/4eq: +0.222 (-0.062)
Player:
Opponent:		62.50% (G:22.15% B:0.98%)
37.50% (G:10.81% B:0.66%)		Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.212...+0.232) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 38 seconds
3.Rollout19/7 6/5eq: +0.218 (-0.067)
Player:
Opponent:		63.59% (G:20.35% B:1.08%)
36.41% (G:12.44% B:1.01%)		Conf.: ± 0.011 (+0.206...+0.229) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 47 seconds
4.Rollout113/11 9/8eq: +0.208 (-0.077)
Player:
Opponent:		62.65% (G:21.18% B:1.12%)
37.35% (G:11.84% B:0.96%)		Conf.: ± 0.011 (+0.196...+0.219) - [0.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 17 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.04

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