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A real-life live position that actually occurred...

Posted By: Rick Janowski
Date: Friday, 11 January 2013, at 5:33 p.m.

In Response To: A real-life live position that actually occurred... (Snua)

Both sides have fairly static positions and the lack of builders threatening to close the vacant 4-point (or attack entering blots) means that White is relatively safe from being closed out for perhaps 3 to 4 rolls (making him perhaps about 65-75% favourite to enter without being under the gun).

When White enters he probably still has the worst of it because of his inferior inner board development but this is partially compensated by cube ownership. There are plenty of other ways to win after entering and getting hit but that gammon risk is significant. I think this would be a double for money (practically definitely a double applying Woolsey's rule) but a relative straight forward take. At the match score, where gammons are terminally costly it looks a lot tougher, but I still think its a take.

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