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Rollout: Make the DMP play

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Friday, 11 January 2013, at 7:15 p.m.

In Response To: Make the DMP play (Timothy Chow)

At DMP, hit first and ask questions later. Questions like, "Why was hitting so wrong?" :-)

OTB, I tried 22/18*. Not sure if I can generalize here, but I'm tempted by the following theory: When you're a long way behind in the race but you've already sent a couple of the opponent's checkers back, consolidating your position takes priority over loose hits.

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 128 1 point match pip: 193 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=---aaBD-B---bB---bad-bBbBA:0:0:1:54:0:0:0:1:10
Blue to play 54

1.	Rollout1	Bar/20 24/20	eq: +0.031
	Player: Opponent: 51.54% (G:12.43% B:1.16%) 48.46% (G:27.59% B:2.52%) Conf: ± 0.009 (+0.022...+0.040) Duration: 6 hours 54 minutes
2.	Rollout1	Bar/16	eq: -0.014 (-0.045)
	Player: Opponent: 49.30% (G:9.20% B:1.14%) 50.70% (G:30.03% B:9.93%) Conf: ± 0.012 (-0.026...-0.002) Duration: 3 hours 43 minutes
3.	Rollout1	Bar/20 8/4*	eq: -0.016 (-0.047)
	Player: Opponent: 49.21% (G:8.75% B:1.31%) 50.79% (G:32.91% B:13.59%) Conf: ± 0.015 (-0.031...-0.001) Duration: 4 hours 21 minutes
4.	Rollout1	Bar/20 22/18*	eq: -0.055 (-0.086)
	Player: Opponent: 47.24% (G:13.67% B:2.18%) 52.76% (G:30.08% B:9.75%) Conf: ± 0.010 (-0.065...-0.045) Duration: 7 hours 15 minutes
1 1171 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 2 Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

1171 games—sorry for the rolloutus interruptus but I'm still desperately trying to clear out my backlog of positions.

Messages In This Thread

• Make the DMP play
  Timothy Chow -- Thursday, 10 January 2013, at 1:59 a.m.
  • Make the DMP play
    Casper van der Tak -- Thursday, 10 January 2013, at 7:54 a.m.
  • Make the DMP play
    Smcrtorchs -- Thursday, 10 January 2013, at 10:23 a.m.
  • Make the DMP play
    John O'Hagan -- Thursday, 10 January 2013, at 2:02 p.m.
  • Make the DMP play
    ah_clem -- Thursday, 10 January 2013, at 3:18 p.m.
  • B/16
    Casper van der Tak -- Thursday, 10 January 2013, at 3:37 p.m.
  • Make the DMP play
    Chase -- Thursday, 10 January 2013, at 8:50 p.m.
  • Rollout delay
    Timothy Chow -- Friday, 11 January 2013, at 12:45 a.m.
  • Rollout: Make the DMP play
    Timothy Chow -- Friday, 11 January 2013, at 7:15 p.m.
    • Rollout: Make the DMP play
      Casper van der Tak -- Friday, 11 January 2013, at 9:32 p.m.
    • OT
      Smcrtorchs -- Friday, 11 January 2013, at 9:35 p.m.