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A real-life live position that actually occurred...

Posted By: Chase
Date: Friday, 11 January 2013, at 8:13 p.m.

In Response To: A real-life live position that actually occurred... (Taper_Mike)

Suppose White takes and recubes immediately. Now, only single wins matter, and I'd guess White wins around 40% from here when played to completion. White can do even better than that holding the cube. I think I'd have to take that.

This position has what I might call long term volatility -- nothing's really going to happen until it happens, and then it probably happens big. That and the racing lead might make this a cube for money, so I'd send it over at this score.

I'm going to spend a little time playing this out, but I imagine that White ends up anchored on Blue's 4pt a fair amount of the time, with Blue still needing to scramble home.

D/T

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