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Cube action ATS?

Posted By: Casper van der Tak
Date: Saturday, 12 January 2013, at 10:29 a.m.

In Response To: Cube action ATS? (Smcrtorchs)

Just now, I have played it out a number of times, and I took the MET and made some assumptions about the gammon and BG rate - looks like Black needs about 33% to take a cube here (assuming 70% cube efficiency).

Black should have 33% easily, 25% of the rolls don't jump the prime, 22 rolls jump the prime but don't get home and leave shots, only 66, 55 and 44 run completely home (with 66 blotting) and 64 is the only hit in the outfield, and even when White gets home completely we will have the residual game winning chances from the ace point. This should be an easy take for Black. I am still not cubing this.

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