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Good Luck with this problem

Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Monday, 14 January 2013, at 6:20 p.m.

In Response To: Good Luck with this problem (Dmitriy Obukhov)

–
White is Player 2

score: 5
pip: 108
11 point match
pip: 97
score: 9

Blue is Player 1
XGID=aC-AB-CBB---a----b-bcbbBb-:0:0:-1:00:5:9:0:11:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

With my limited match skill, there is no way I would think to cube this over the board. Blue still has some chances to win a gammon, and even if he only wins a single game, that would take him to –c–6, where he is an 89% favorite. With the auto-recube, Blue is going to have to win a lot of games here in order to justify doubling.

I can see now that White is going to have problems, especially when he rolls a 6 before he rolls a 5. White will probably never complete the closeout, and may have a third checker sent back very soon, if not immediately.

Nice problem.

Mike

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