I rolled out the five plays that did best with XG++.
With everything so close and the top plays following different themes, it's hard to conclude much. Plays 1 and 3 advance the anchor. The top two plays pick up the blot on the 10. Plays 2 and 4 make the 11 point, providing safe builders for the five point. The forum favorite 13/9(2) comes in a close fifth.
So, much heat and little light, but...have you ever seen a contact position with so many close plays?
           
 
          
 | | White is Player 2
score: 5
pip: 137 | | 7 point match | pip: 149
score: 5
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=--aaB-C-D-A--BbAbb-dBc----:1:-1:1:22:5:5:0:7:10 |
| Blue to play 22 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 20/18(2) 15/13 10/8 | eq: +0.082 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 54.12% (G:10.31% B:0.99%)
45.88% (G:9.84% B:0.73%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.078...+0.087) - [59.8%]
Duration: 33 minutes 55 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 13/11(2) 10/6 | eq: +0.082 (-0.001) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 54.08% (G:17.52% B:1.56%)
45.92% (G:12.55% B:0.64%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.077...+0.087) - [40.2%]
Duration: 34 minutes 36 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 20/18(2) 15/13 8/6 | eq: +0.073 (-0.010) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 53.63% (G:10.70% B:1.06%)
46.37% (G:12.69% B:1.00%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.068...+0.077) - [0.0%]
Duration: 32 minutes 08 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout1 | 15/11 13/11(2) | eq: +0.072 (-0.011) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 53.59% (G:13.85% B:1.04%)
46.41% (G:11.58% B:0.46%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.067...+0.077) - [0.0%]
Duration: 31 minutes 32 seconds |
|
| 5. | Rollout1 | 13/9(2) | eq: +0.067 (-0.016) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 53.34% (G:15.41% B:1.47%)
46.66% (G:13.45% B:0.78%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.062...+0.072) - [0.0%]
Duration: 36 minutes 06 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2