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51S-55A-F-52D-53@-61 — Unlimited Games — 3-ply XG2 Rollout

Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Tuesday, 15 January 2013, at 12:33 a.m.

In Response To: Rollouts *NM* (KenB)

–

Did someone say, “Free alcohol?” X = B-minus-o( XG++ ) = 0.0114 R = B-minus-o( rollout ) = –0.0178 Difference = X – R = 0.0114 + 0.0178 = 0.0292 Mike

51S-55A-F-52D-53@-61 — Unlimited Games

Bot	Seed	Equity	Nacbracs	Link
GnuBg 2-ply Trunc	703198144	–55.355	[o B12 U54] /0.360t	Taper_Mike (not posted)
XG 2.03 3-ply, Cubes: XGR	38832936	–36.8	[B o18 U42 O106] "<=31*5	Taper_Mike
XG 2.03 XGR++ Eval	[XGR++ seed]	–30.9	[o B11 U44 O89] "&e	Taper_Mike

51S-55A-F-52D-53@-61 — Nactation Key

Family	Nactation	Traditional Notation	Note
Both	B	24/18, 11/10
Outer	O	13/6
Outer	o	11/4
Up	U	24/23, 24/18

---

XG Roller++ Eval

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 154 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 140 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-B-B-bC-B--AdC---d-e----B-:0:0:1:61:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 61

1.	XG Roller++	11/4	eq: -0.0310
	Player: Opponent: 49.02% (G:11.74% B:0.21%) 50.98% (G:12.17% B:0.45%)
2.	XG Roller++	24/18 11/10	eq: -0.0424 (-0.0114)
	Player: Opponent: 48.94% (G:12.32% B:0.25%) 51.06% (G:12.59% B:0.50%)
3.	XG Roller++	24/23 24/18	eq: -0.0746 (-0.0436)
	Player: Opponent: 48.57% (G:11.16% B:0.25%) 51.43% (G:13.63% B:0.53%)
4.	XG Roller++	13/6	eq: -0.1200 (-0.0890)
	Player: Opponent: 46.40% (G:12.90% B:0.24%) 53.60% (G:13.26% B:0.56%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03

---

Full Rollout

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 154 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 140 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-B-B-bC-B--AdC---d-e----B-:0:0:1:61:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 61

1.	Rollout1	24/18 11/10	eq: -0.0368
	Player: Opponent: 49.06% (G:12.71% B:0.29%) 50.94% (G:12.79% B:0.52%) Conf.: ±0.0027 (-0.0395...-0.0340) - [100.0%] Duration: 2 hours 32 minutes
2.	Rollout1	11/4	eq: -0.0546 (-0.0178)
	Player: Opponent: 48.95% (G:12.02% B:0.25%) 51.05% (G:12.58% B:0.44%) Conf.: ±0.0027 (-0.0572...-0.0519) - [0.0%] Duration: 2 hours 24 minutes
3.	Rollout2	24/23 24/18	eq: -0.0792 (-0.0424)
	Player: Opponent: 48.52% (G:11.31% B:0.28%) 51.48% (G:13.87% B:0.53%) Conf.: ±0.0067 (-0.0859...-0.0724) - [0.0%] Duration: 25 minutes 24 seconds
4.	Rollout2	13/6	eq: -0.1428 (-0.1061)
	Player: Opponent: 46.29% (G:12.86% B:0.29%) 53.71% (G:13.62% B:0.58%) Conf.: ±0.0070 (-0.1498...-0.1358) - [0.0%] Duration: 24 minutes 02 seconds
1 31104 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 38832936 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 38832936 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Rollout by Taper_Mike 2012-Dec-11 eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03 51S-55A-F-52D-53@-61-tm . xgp 51S-55A-F-52D-53@-61  [B o18 U42 O106]  "<=31*5

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03

Messages In This Thread

• Contest! Win free Alcohol!
  KenB -- Monday, 14 January 2013, at 10:11 p.m.
  • Rollouts *NM*
    KenB -- Monday, 14 January 2013, at 10:32 p.m.
    • 51S-55A-F-52D-53@-61 — Unlimited Games — 3-ply XG2 Rollout
      Taper_Mike -- Tuesday, 15 January 2013, at 12:33 a.m.
    • 43D-53H-64C-11 — Unlimited Games — 3-ply XG2 Rollout
      Taper_Mike -- Monday, 21 January 2013, at 6:54 p.m.
    • A test position for XG3
      Taper_Mike -- Wednesday, 23 January 2013, at 8:35 p.m.
    • 51S-22N-32 — Unlimited Games — 3-ply XG2 Rollout
      Taper_Mike -- Saturday, 26 January 2013, at 1:41 a.m.
    • 62S-44B-21S-51H-32E-65 — Unlimited Games — 3-ply XG2 Rollout
      Taper_Mike -- Monday, 28 January 2013, at 9:34 p.m.
    • 32S-21X-41 — Unlimited Games — 3-ply XG2 Rollout
      Taper_Mike -- Tuesday, 29 January 2013, at 7:03 p.m.
    • 62S-21H-42S-41B-65S-21 — Unlimited Games — 3-ply XG2 Rollout
      Taper_Mike -- Thursday, 31 January 2013, at 9:26 a.m.
    • 21$-42H-21X-31U-41 — Double Match Point — 3-ply XG2 Rollout
      Taper_Mike -- Monday, 4 February 2013, at 9:10 a.m.
    • 52S-51S-63R-43@-51D-55 — 2-away, 5-away — 4-ply XG2 Rollout
      Taper_Mike -- Tuesday, 5 February 2013, at 8:16 a.m.
    • 61P-55P-21 — Unlimited Games — 3-ply XG2 Rollout
      Taper_Mike -- Wednesday, 6 February 2013, at 10:06 a.m.
    • Example from Michael Depreli
      Timothy Chow -- Thursday, 7 February 2013, at 1:32 a.m.
    • 63S-22B-43Z-42Z-54 — Unlimited Games — 3-ply XG Rollout
      Taper_Mike -- Saturday, 9 February 2013, at 7:18 a.m.
    • Another example from Michael Depreli
      Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 17 February 2013, at 12:53 a.m.
  • Contest! Win free Alcohol!
    Bob koca -- Monday, 14 January 2013, at 11:44 p.m.
    • Contest! Win free Alcohol!
      KenB -- Monday, 14 January 2013, at 11:58 p.m.
      • Contest! Win free Alcohol!
        Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 15 January 2013, at 3:51 p.m.
  • Contest! Win free Alcohol!
    Stick -- Tuesday, 15 January 2013, at 1:49 a.m.
    • New clause
      KenB -- Tuesday, 15 January 2013, at 4:36 a.m.
      • New clause
        Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 15 January 2013, at 3:54 p.m.
  • Contest! Win free Alcohol! - a 0.113 error
    eXtreme Gammon -- Tuesday, 15 January 2013, at 2:47 a.m.
    • DQ'd - but...
      KenB -- Tuesday, 15 January 2013, at 4:31 a.m.
      • DQ'd - but...
        Stick -- Tuesday, 15 January 2013, at 9:25 a.m.
        • DQ'd - but...
          KenB -- Tuesday, 15 January 2013, at 2:04 p.m.
  • Contest! Win free Alcohol!
    Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 15 January 2013, at 4:43 p.m.
    • Contest! Win free Alcohol!
      Stick -- Tuesday, 15 January 2013, at 5:58 p.m.
      • Contest! Win free Alcohol!
        Taper_Mike -- Tuesday, 15 January 2013, at 8:02 p.m.
        • Contest! Win free Alcohol!
          Bob Koca -- Tuesday, 15 January 2013, at 9:01 p.m.
  • Contest! Win free Alcohol! -- checkerplay or cube decision
    Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 15 January 2013, at 5:23 p.m.
    • Cubes are ok
      KenB -- Tuesday, 15 January 2013, at 6:04 p.m.
  • Contest! Win free Alcohol!
    Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 15 January 2013, at 10:07 p.m.
  • Contest! Win free Alcohol!
    Stick -- Tuesday, 15 January 2013, at 10:35 p.m.
  • Real Position #1
    Stick -- Wednesday, 16 January 2013, at 11:11 p.m.
    • Real Position #1
      Bob Koca -- Wednesday, 16 January 2013, at 11:30 p.m.
      • Real Position #1
        Stick -- Thursday, 17 January 2013, at 4:55 a.m.
      • Real Position #1
        KenB -- Friday, 18 January 2013, at 2:33 a.m.
        • Real Position #1
          Taper_Mike -- Friday, 18 January 2013, at 5:56 a.m.
          • Real Position #1
            Bob Koca -- Friday, 18 January 2013, at 10:07 p.m.
            • Real Position #1
              Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 19 January 2013, at 3:28 a.m.
            • Real Position #1
              Taper_Mike -- Saturday, 19 January 2013, at 3:37 a.m.
              • Real Position #1
                Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 19 January 2013, at 4:53 a.m.
              • Real Position #1
                Bob koca -- Saturday, 19 January 2013, at 5:09 p.m.
    • Real Position #1
      Taper_Mike -- Thursday, 17 January 2013, at 7:37 a.m.