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BGonline.org Forums
Question: Only two candidates worth considering
Posted By: Timothy Chow In Response To: Question: Only two candidates worth considering (Taper_Mike)
Date: Tuesday, 15 January 2013, at 5:24 p.m.
Well, I didn't look at this thoroughly, but I'm pretty sure that the 5pt blot is a major factor. It's true that when White hits in her board rather than in the outfield, she simultaneously takes an important step towards closing her board. However, by itself I don't think that this is enough to jack up the gammons that much, because hitting loose in the board is a double-edged sword: it gives Blue return shots from the bar. The fact that Blue has a blot in his own home board makes a big difference because now hitting back from the bar has a big potential downside.
Might be worth seeing what happens if we change the roll to 52.
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