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Real Position #1

Posted By: Stick
Date: Wednesday, 16 January 2013, at 11:11 p.m.

In Response To: Contest! Win free Alcohol! (KenB)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 115
4 point match
pip: 147
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=----bBBBBB-AbB--b--bBacab-:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:4:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in XG Roller++ No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 67.83% (G:12.77% B:0.43%) 67.90% (G:12.71% B:0.46%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 32.17% (G:5.42% B:0.05%) 32.10% (G:5.42% B:0.04%)
Cubeless Equities +0.464 +1.183
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.784
Double/Take:+0.755 (-0.029)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.216)
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 10.7%
White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 115
4 point match
pip: 147
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=----bBBBBB-AbB--b--bBacab-:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:4:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 67.77% (G:13.64% B:0.84%) 67.89% (G:14.05% B:1.19%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 32.23% (G:5.73% B:0.14%) 32.11% (G:5.80% B:0.14%)
Cubeless Equities +0.477 +1.227
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.876 (-0.021)±0.014 (+0.861..+0.890)
Double/Take:+0.896±0.017 (+0.879..+0.913)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.104)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 91169063
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:96.7%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 31 minutes 41 seconds

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