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PvP Cube action - Rollout

Posted By: Mr Majestyk
Date: Thursday, 17 January 2013, at 1:05 p.m.

In Response To: PvP Cube action? (Mr Majestyk)

I suspected this might be close and my gut-feeling was to take a roll and reevaluate. However, I did recube and rolled 51 23/22 9/4 followed by a 42 by XG+ B23 8/4.

White is XG Roller+ score: 0 pip: 158 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 151 score: 0 Blue is NBM XGID=ac-BBBB-BA-------bbbbbBBa-:1:1:1:00:0:0:3:0:10 Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take   Player Winning Chances: 60.91% (G:33.40% B:5.08%) 60.74% (G:33.84% B:5.59%)   Opponent Winning Chances: 39.09% (G:12.77% B:0.63%) 39.26% (G:12.59% B:0.59%)   Cubeless Equities +0.469 +0.954 Cubeful Equities      No redouble: +0.648 ±0.008 (+0.640..+0.656)      Redouble/Take: +0.626 (-0.022) ±0.016 (+0.610..+0.642)      Redouble/Pass: +1.000 (+0.352)   Best Cube action: No redouble / Take Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 5.5% Rollout details 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply   Double Decision confidence: 99.3% Take Decision confidence: 100.0% Duration: 42 minutes 47 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03

ALERT! Rollout below

		White is XG Roller+ score: 0 pip: 152 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 145 score: 0 Blue is NBM
XGID=-caBCBB-B--------abbbcCAa-:1:1:1:00:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout	No redouble	Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances:	73.12% (G:43.31% B:6.56%)	73.29% (G:43.21% B:6.91%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	26.88% (G:7.99% B:0.32%)	26.71% (G:7.78% B:0.32%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.878	+1.772
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:	+1.036	±0.012 (+1.024..+1.049)
Redouble/Take:	+1.562 (+0.526)	±0.024 (+1.538..+1.586)
Redouble/Pass:	+1.000 (-0.036)
Best Cube action: Too good to redouble / Pass
Percentage of wrong take needed to make the double decision right: 6.5%
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply
Double Decision confidence:		100.0%
Take Decision confidence:		100.0%
Duration: 10 minutes 46 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03

nbm

NBM

Messages In This Thread

• PvP Cube action?
  Mr Majestyk -- Wednesday, 16 January 2013, at 4:35 p.m.
  • PvP Cube action?
    ah_clem -- Wednesday, 16 January 2013, at 4:48 p.m.
  • PvP Cube action?
    John O'Hagan -- Wednesday, 16 January 2013, at 5:25 p.m.
    • PvP Cube action?
      mtuhtan -- Wednesday, 16 January 2013, at 5:58 p.m.
      • PvP Cube action?
        neilkaz -- Wednesday, 16 January 2013, at 6:23 p.m.
  • PvP Cube action?
    Timothy Chow -- Wednesday, 16 January 2013, at 10:10 p.m.
    • PvP Cube action?
      Mr Majestyk -- Thursday, 17 January 2013, at 1:04 a.m.
    • PvP Cube action?
      Stick -- Thursday, 17 January 2013, at 4:53 a.m.
      • PvP Cube action?
        Timothy Chow -- Thursday, 17 January 2013, at 5:05 a.m.
  • PvP Cube action - Rollout
    Mr Majestyk -- Thursday, 17 January 2013, at 1:05 p.m.