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Stack or spread? — 3-ply XG2 Rollout

Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Friday, 18 January 2013, at 11:49 p.m.

In Response To: Stack or spread? (Taper_Mike)

–

The issue of stack-or-spread is complicated by more general considerations of safety here. Without checking roll-by-roll, my sense is that stacking is just as good or better, safety-wise, than spreading. And because of the way doublets play, stacking gives Blue better attacking options than spreading. 33, 32, and 22, for instance are POH numbers after stacking. Only 33 and 32 will do the job after spreading.

More generally, Blue is trying to bear in, and win the race. So, bear in.

Mike
White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 106
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 84
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BBBa-CD----bB----ccbb--b-:1:-1:1:41:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 41

1.Rollout17/6 7/3eq: +0.3833
Player:
Opponent:		71.70% (G:5.64% B:0.04%)
28.30% (G:2.85% B:0.08%)		Conf.: ±0.0025 (+0.3809...+0.3858) - [100.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 51 seconds
2.Rollout17/2eq: +0.3409 (-0.0425)
Player:
Opponent:		70.28% (G:4.86% B:0.04%)
29.72% (G:3.27% B:0.10%)		Conf.: ±0.0024 (+0.3384...+0.3433) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 48 seconds
 
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 87947951
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Rollout by Taper_Mike
2013-Jan-18
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03
Flashcard PositionID 000738.xgp

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03

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