Only two responses to this innocuous position......
The position came up with the cube centred. I didn't even consider the best play and was quite surprised that anything else is a blunder.
The kind of position that would have slipped under the radar pre XG days.
Hats off to anyone who would have found this play OTB.
Michael

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 138 | | 7 point match | pip: 123 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
| XGID=-a---bECB-C-bB---a-cbb-b--:0:0:1:22:0:0:0:7:10 |
| Blue to play 22 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 10/8 6/4(3) | eq: +0.901 |
| Player: Opponent: | 74.49% (G:4.19% B:0.08%) 25.51% (G:1.90% B:0.04%) | Conf.: ± 0.017 (+0.884...+0.919) - [100.0%] Duration: 2 minutes 09 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout2 | 13/11(2) 6/4(2) | eq: +0.816 (-0.085) |
| Player: Opponent: | 72.72% (G:5.62% B:0.13%) 27.28% (G:3.10% B:0.05%) | Conf.: ± 0.021 (+0.796...+0.837) - [0.0%] Duration: 2 minutes 11 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout2 | 10/4 6/4 | eq: +0.814 (-0.088) |
| Player: Opponent: | 72.72% (G:6.02% B:0.21%) 27.28% (G:3.43% B:0.06%) | Conf.: ± 0.015 (+0.798...+0.829) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 58 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout2 | 13/9(2) | eq: +0.715 (-0.187) |
| Player: Opponent: | 70.10% (G:6.14% B:0.20%) 29.90% (G:4.52% B:0.10%) | Conf.: ± 0.020 (+0.695...+0.735) - [0.0%] Duration: 2 minutes 20 seconds |
|
| |
1 430 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller Search interval: Large
2 427 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller Search interval: Large
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 138 | | 7 point match | pip: 123 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
| XGID=-a---bECB-C-bB---a-cbb-b--:1:-1:1:22:0:0:0:7:10 |
| Blue to play 22 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 10/8 6/4(3) | eq: +0.445 |
| Player: Opponent: | 74.55% (G:4.12% B:0.07%) 25.45% (G:1.90% B:0.04%) | Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.436...+0.455) - [100.0%] Duration: 1 minute 31 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 13/11(2) 6/4(2) | eq: +0.402 (-0.043) |
| Player: Opponent: | 72.85% (G:5.53% B:0.13%) 27.15% (G:3.08% B:0.04%) | Conf.: ± 0.012 (+0.390...+0.415) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 23 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 10/4 6/4 | eq: +0.400 (-0.045) |
| Player: Opponent: | 72.79% (G:5.94% B:0.23%) 27.21% (G:3.38% B:0.05%) | Conf.: ± 0.009 (+0.391...+0.409) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 19 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout1 | 6/2(2) | eq: +0.360 (-0.085) |
| Player: Opponent: | 70.98% (G:5.46% B:0.17%) 29.02% (G:3.51% B:0.11%) | Conf.: ± 0.010 (+0.350...+0.370) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 20 seconds |
|
| 5. | Rollout1 | 13/9(2) | eq: +0.339 (-0.106) |
| Player: Opponent: | 70.44% (G:5.86% B:0.11%) 29.56% (G:4.61% B:0.11%) | Conf.: ± 0.015 (+0.324...+0.355) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 minute 22 seconds |
|
| |
1 396 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller Search interval: Large
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 138 | | 7 point match | pip: 123 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
| XGID=-a---bECB-C-bB---a-cbb-b--:1:-1:1:22:0:0:0:7:10 |
| Blue to play 22 |
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03