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Safe or all in?

Posted By: Chase
Date: Thursday, 24 January 2013, at 6:41 a.m.

In Response To: Safe or all in? (Hall Skåra)

After 5/0 3/2, I'm very likely to win a gammon if I'm missed, and a big favorite to win the game if I'm hit (~70%). After 5/0 1/0, my gammon chances are somewhat better if I'm missed, but the extra blots mean my winning chances drop considerably, especially with White holding the cube. Since the hit happens ~1/3 of the time, the extra risk doesn't seem worth it. I'd play safe.

5/0 3/2

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