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Safe or all in?

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Thursday, 24 January 2013, at 4:37 p.m.

In Response To: Safe or all in? (__1ERROR1__)

"after you bear off 2 checkers and were hit, you will see your opponent splitting 19/24 or 21/24"

Considering that losing a gammon costs our opp almost as much as his gain from winning the game AtS, I hope I see him make that play after he hits us.

That being said, I strongly think that 3/2 is technically best. Almost any opponent will know to slot the ace pt after hitting if I take two off. Weaker opps may blunder after hitting with slots breaking the 4 pt or worse yet breaking the 6 pt. Quite a few opps will also err bearing off.

I'd play 3/2 against most anyone, since against weaker opps my chances with a 5-4 lead are better than against another W/C Giant.

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