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63S-64X-32 — Unlimited Games — 3-ply XG2 Rollout

Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Thursday, 24 January 2013, at 9:25 p.m.

In Response To: Comparing tips — 63S-64X-32 (Taper_Mike)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 157
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 165
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a---aE-C-A-dD---cae----AA:0:0:1:32:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 32

1.Rollout1Bar/23 13/10eq: -0.0974
Player:
Opponent:
47.85% (G:12.55% B:0.52%)
52.15% (G:15.16% B:0.64%)
Conf.: ±0.0039 (-0.1013...-0.0936) - [100.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 14 minutes
2.Rollout1Bar/23 8/5* eq: -0.1908 (-0.0934)
Player:
Opponent:
46.08% (G:12.69% B:0.56%)
53.92% (G:17.59% B:1.07%)
Conf.: ±0.0043 (-0.1951...-0.1865) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 41 minutes
3.Rollout1Bar/22 24/22eq: -0.2138 (-0.1163)
Player:
Opponent:
44.66% (G:9.82% B:0.39%)
55.34% (G:12.86% B:0.52%)
Conf.: ±0.0038 (-0.2176...-0.2099) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 hours 38 minutes
 
1 20736 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 62443620
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Rollout by Taper_Mike
2013-Jan-22
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03
63S-64X-32-tm.xgp
63S-64X-32  [Z H93 @116]  "<=20
63S-64X-32  [Z H86 @105]  "&e

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03

63S-64X-32 — Unlimited Games
Bot Seed Equity Nacbracs Link
XG 2.03 3-ply, Cubes: XGR 62443620 –97.4 [P H93 @116] "<=20 Taper_Mike (above)
XG 2.03 XGR++ Eval [XGR++ seed] –100.6 [P H86 @105] "&e Taper_Mike

63S-64X-32 — Nactation Key
FamilyNactationTraditional NotationNote
Anchor@ bar/22, 24/22
HitH bar/23, 8/5*
PointP bar/23, 13/10 For a move to be nactated in the P (Point) family, normally all parts of the roll must be dedicated to making a point. Entering from the bar is an exception.
Pointp bar/22, 24/22 By the 6pt Convention, holding the 22pt ranks below holding the 10pt.
Hit and splitX bar/23, 8/5*
Reverse splitZ bar/23, 13/10

62S-64X-32, 63S-64X-32, 64S-64X-32, and 64S-41X-32 are a contrasting group of related positions.

All the same offensive threats White has in 64S-64X-32 are also present here. He has an extra checker in the zone, and can often make a new point while retaining his 8pt. In this position, however, Blue has a chance to cover his blot in the outer board. That is enough to trump anchoring.

It is interesting to note that hitting is also better than anchoring here, even though anchoring comes out on top in 64S-64X-32. The duplication of 4s in the latter position must be the difference.

Explanation of nacbracs

Mike

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