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Play 31 - Rollout

Posted By: Smcrtorchs
Date: Friday, 25 January 2013, at 9:06 a.m.

In Response To: Play 31 - Rollout (Chase)

" I thought I was clever by blocking white's 33 and forcing him to break his prime. But according to XGR++, forcing white to hit with it instead, gains Blue over 0.121 equity on that one roll."

After bar/22 7/6 if white rolls a 33 and plays 8/2(2) XG mobile 3ply gives blue -0.571 equity. After bar/22 6/5 if white rolls a 33 and plays 22/19* 19/16 13/7 XG mobile 3ply gives blue -0.685 equity.

If I understood your comment correctly, XGR++ reverses that judgement and after bar/22 6/5 followed by a 33 blue's equity is 0.121 higher than blue's equity after bar/22 7/6 followed by a 33. That would be a .235 equity difference between XG mobile 3 ply and XGR++ and while this is not impossible, I would find that hard to believe. But maybe you meant something different than what I understood.

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