      
 
         
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 30 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 82
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
| | XGID=-aBBBBBCA----A---------c--:1:1:1:32:0:0:3:0:10 | | Blue to play 32 | | | 1. | Rollout1 | 13/10 7/5 | eq: -0.255 | | Player:
Opponent: | 31.87% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
68.13% (G:2.34% B:0.40%) | Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.261...-0.250) - [50.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 16 seconds |
| | 2. | Rollout1 | 8/6 7/4 | eq: -0.256 (-0.001) | | Player:
Opponent: | 32.00% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
68.00% (G:2.25% B:0.39%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.262...-0.251) - [30.3%]
Duration: 1 minute 13 seconds |
| | 3. | Rollout1 | 13/10 8/6 | eq: -0.257 (-0.002) | | Player:
Opponent: | 31.88% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
68.12% (G:2.15% B:0.35%) | Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.263...-0.252) - [18.3%]
Duration: 1 minute 17 seconds |
| | 4. | Rollout1 | 13/11 7/4 | eq: -0.261 (-0.006) | | Player:
Opponent: | 31.76% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
68.24% (G:2.34% B:0.43%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.267...-0.256) - [1.4%]
Duration: 49.6 seconds |
| | 5. | Rollout1 | 13/11 8/5 | eq: -0.265 (-0.010) | | Player:
Opponent: | 31.72% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
68.28% (G:2.31% B:0.33%) | Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.271...-0.260) - [0.0%]
Duration: 48.6 seconds |
| | 6. | Rollout1 | 13/8 | eq: -0.273 (-0.018) | | Player:
Opponent: | 31.18% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
68.82% (G:2.20% B:0.39%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.279...-0.268) - [0.0%]
Duration: 46.4 seconds |
| | | 1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply
|
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03
13/8 is a clever idea (my otb choice) as it keeps the 6 prime and hopes to roll an ace next roll. The cost could be quite high if I roll big and lose spares to the low points. Eggs in one basket is hardly the right idea here.
DMP
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 30 | | 1 point match | pip: 82
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
| | XGID=-aBBBBBCA----A---------c--:0:0:1:32:0:0:0:1:10 | | Blue to play 32 | | | 1. | Rollout1 | 8/6 7/4 | eq: -0.343 | | Player:
Opponent: | 32.85% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
67.15% (G:6.99% B:1.78%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.347...-0.339) - [57.1%]
Duration: 1 minute 05 seconds |
| | 2. | Rollout1 | 13/11 7/4 | eq: -0.344 (-0.001) | | Player:
Opponent: | 32.79% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
67.21% (G:6.78% B:1.68%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.348...-0.340) - [30.3%]
Duration: 54.9 seconds |
| | 3. | Rollout1 | 13/10 7/5 | eq: -0.346 (-0.003) | | Player:
Opponent: | 32.70% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
67.30% (G:6.49% B:1.47%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.350...-0.342) - [8.8%]
Duration: 1 minute 09 seconds |
| | 4. | Rollout1 | 13/10 8/6 | eq: -0.347 (-0.004) | | Player:
Opponent: | 32.66% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
67.34% (G:6.29% B:1.33%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.351...-0.343) - [3.8%]
Duration: 49.4 seconds |
| | 5. | Rollout1 | 13/11 8/5 | eq: -0.351 (-0.008) | | Player:
Opponent: | 32.44% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
67.56% (G:5.22% B:1.25%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.355...-0.347) - [0.0%]
Duration: 35.1 seconds |
| | 6. | Rollout1 | 13/8 | eq: -0.357 (-0.014) | | Player:
Opponent: | 32.13% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
67.87% (G:6.36% B:1.44%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.362...-0.353) - [0.0%]
Duration: 33.1 seconds |
| | | 1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply
|
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2
Striving for maximum flexibility looks like the right plan.
Future aces
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 30 | | 1 point match | pip: 77
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
| | XGID=-aBBCBCB-----A---------c--:0:0:1:21:0:0:0:1:10 | | Blue to play 21 | | | 1. | Rollout1 | 13/11 2/1* | eq: -0.339 | | Player:
Opponent: | 33.04% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
66.96% (G:13.78% B:3.98%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.344...-0.335) - [100.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 47 seconds |
| | 2. | Rollout1 | 13/10 | eq: -0.374 (-0.035) | | Player:
Opponent: | 31.28% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
68.72% (G:6.00% B:1.68%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.378...-0.370) - [0.0%]
Duration: 44.5 seconds |
| | 3. | Rollout1 | 13/11 6/5 | eq: -0.376 (-0.037) | | Player:
Opponent: | 31.19% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
68.81% (G:6.16% B:1.57%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.380...-0.372) - [0.0%]
Duration: 55.2 seconds |
| | | 1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply
|
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 30 | | 1 point match | pip: 77
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
| | XGID=-aBBCBCB-----A---------c--:0:0:1:61:0:0:0:1:10 | | Blue to play 61 | | | 1. | Rollout1 | 13/7 2/1* | eq: -0.386 | | Player:
Opponent: | 30.69% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
69.31% (G:12.13% B:3.03%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.390...-0.382) - [100.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 24 seconds |
| | 2. | Rollout1 | 13/6 | eq: -0.414 (-0.028) | | Player:
Opponent: | 29.29% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
70.71% (G:4.33% B:0.95%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.418...-0.411) - [0.0%]
Duration: 42.2 seconds |
| | | 1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply
|
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2
It didn't cross my mind to "hope for the best and plan for the worst".
NBM