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11 at 1a2a post-Crawford

Posted By: Ian Shaw
Date: Friday, 25 January 2013, at 5:57 p.m.

In Response To: 11 at 1a2a post-Crawford (Ian Shaw)

I rolled this out cubeless to avoid being doubled out immediately.

I feared gammons too much and advanced to the 21 to protect against them. There aren't enough gammon losses when you stay back to justify my play.

(For the record, my opponent immediately double me out.)

The score (after 0 games) is: White 9, Blue 10 (match to 11 points, post-Crawford play)

Move number 3: Blue to play 11

White	111
Blue	138
Position ID: w84NBwDYboMBGA Match ID: cIlkAZAAUAAE

• Blue moves 23/21(2)

Alert: bad move ( -0.092)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
	1	R	23/22(2) 6/4	-0.4793
			0.3011 0.0436 0.0040 - 0.6989 0.0408 0.0035 -0.4793 0.0006 0.0015 0.0006 - 0.0006 0.0005 0.0005 0.0014
	2	R	23/22(2) 7/5	-0.4829 ( -0.0035)
			0.3018 0.0456 0.0035 - 0.6982 0.0432 0.0047 -0.4829 0.0006 0.0015 0.0005 - 0.0006 0.0005 0.0007 0.0014
	3	R	23/22(2) 8/7 6/5	-0.4833 ( -0.0039)
			0.2994 0.0428 0.0027 - 0.7006 0.0410 0.0035 -0.4833 0.0006 0.0015 0.0004 - 0.0006 0.0005 0.0006 0.0014
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune
	4	R	23/22(2) 8/6	-0.4848 ( -0.0054)
			0.2988 0.0436 0.0033 - 0.7012 0.0412 0.0039 -0.4848 0.0006 0.0015 0.0005 - 0.0006 0.0004 0.0006 0.0014
	5	R	23/22(2) 4/3(2)	-0.4895 ( -0.0102)
			0.2967 0.0447 0.0024 - 0.7033 0.0415 0.0036 -0.4895 0.0007 0.0015 0.0004 - 0.0007 0.0005 0.0005 0.0014
	6	R	23/22(2) 6/5 4/3	-0.5010 ( -0.0216)
			0.2941 0.0418 0.0028 - 0.7059 0.0446 0.0048 -0.5010 0.0007 0.0015 0.0005 - 0.0007 0.0005 0.0006 0.0014
			Full cubeless rollout (trunc. at one-sided bearoff) with var.redn.
	7	R	23/22(2) 5/3	-0.5024 ( -0.0230)
			0.2944 0.0432 0.0025 - 0.7056 0.0455 0.0047 -0.5024 0.0007 0.0014 0.0004 - 0.0007 0.0005 0.0006 0.0015
	8	R	23/22(2) 8/7 4/3	-0.5154 ( -0.0360)
			0.2861 0.0399 0.0024 - 0.7139 0.0438 0.0044 -0.5154 0.0007 0.0014 0.0004 - 0.0007 0.0005 0.0006 0.0014
	9	R	7/3	-0.5505 ( -0.0711)
			0.2882 0.0549 0.0045 - 0.7118 0.0635 0.0072 -0.5505 0.0009 0.0018 0.0009 - 0.0009 0.0006 0.0008 0.0018
	10	R	6/3 4/3	-0.5523 ( -0.0730)
			0.2894 0.0527 0.0039 - 0.7106 0.0655 0.0076 -0.5523 0.0008 0.0017 0.0005 - 0.0008 0.0006 0.0008 0.0016
	11	R	8/7 6/3	-0.5601 ( -0.0808)
			0.2846 0.0501 0.0042 - 0.7154 0.0646 0.0053 -0.5601 0.0008 0.0015 0.0005 - 0.0008 0.0006 0.0006 0.0016
•	12	R	23/21(2)	-0.5717 ( -0.0924)
			0.2391 0.0226 0.0017 - 0.7609 0.0249 0.0016 -0.5717 0.0005 0.0012 0.0004 - 0.0005 0.0003 0.0003 0.0011
			Full cubeless rollout (trunc. at one-sided bearoff) with var.redn.
			6481 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 701790453 and quasi-random dice
			Play: 2-ply cubeless prune
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune

Messages In This Thread

• 11 at 1a2a post-Crawford
  Ian Shaw -- Wednesday, 23 January 2013, at 1:46 p.m.
  • 11 at 1a2a post-Crawford
    Michael Depreli -- Wednesday, 23 January 2013, at 4:47 p.m.
  • 11 at 1a2a post-Crawford
    Timothy Chow -- Wednesday, 23 January 2013, at 6:30 p.m.
    • 11 at 1a2a post-Crawford
      Sam Pottle -- Wednesday, 23 January 2013, at 6:58 p.m.
  • 11 at 1a2a post-Crawford
    ah_clem -- Wednesday, 23 January 2013, at 7:05 p.m.
  • 11 at 1a2a post-Crawford
    Adam Torkelson -- Wednesday, 23 January 2013, at 7:26 p.m.
  • 11 at 1a2a post-Crawford
    Casper van der Tak -- Wednesday, 23 January 2013, at 9:21 p.m.
  • 11 at 1a2a post-Crawford
    __1ERROR1__ -- Thursday, 24 January 2013, at 9:19 a.m.
  • 11 at 1a2a post-Crawford
    neilkaz -- Thursday, 24 January 2013, at 5:48 p.m.
  • 11 at 1a2a post-Crawford
    Daniel Murphy -- Thursday, 24 January 2013, at 9:23 p.m.
  • 11 at 1a2a post-Crawford
    Ian Shaw -- Friday, 25 January 2013, at 5:57 p.m.
    • 11 at 1a2a post-Crawford
      ah_clem -- Friday, 25 January 2013, at 7:00 p.m.
      • 11 at 1a2a post-Crawford
        Casper van der Tak -- Friday, 25 January 2013, at 7:56 p.m.