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51S-22N-32 — Unlimited Games — 3-ply XG2 Rollout

Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Saturday, 26 January 2013, at 1:41 a.m.

In Response To: Rollouts *NM* (KenB)

–

51S-22N-32 — Unlimited Games
Bot Seed Equity Nacbracs Link
XG 2.03 3-ply, Cubes: XGR 49043482 –472.0 [% D2 Z23] "<=93*5 Taper_Mike
XG 2.03 XGR++ Eval [XGR++ seed] –468.9 [D %7 Z26] "&e Taper_Mike

51S-22N-32 — Nactation Key
FamilyNactationTraditional NotationNote
Slot$ 13/10, 6/4 Other things being equal, slotting the 5pt is better than slotting the 4pt. When you can unstack the taller point in the process of slotting the 4pt, however, it beats slotting the 5pt.
Alternate slot% 13/11, 8/5 Although this play does not unstack the taller point, it still slots the 5pt, so it beats plays like 13/11 6/3 that rank lower in the $% (Slot/Alternate slot) family.
DownD 13/11, 13/10 Far:Down:Jump:Inside = 0:2:0:0
In the outer board, blot destinations are preferred when they are farther from the 6pt.
Reverse splitZ 24/22, 13/10 This is the only way to play the smaller die on the far side of the board, and bring a blot down into the outer board (from the far outer board) with the larger die.

Swing = 9.1

Mike

Rollout: [% D2.3 Z23.1] "<=93*5
White is Player 1

score: 0
pip: 159
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 161
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=-b----E-D---cDb--c-c-b-AA-:0:0:1:32:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 32

1.Rollout113/11 8/5eq: -0.4720
Player:
Opponent:		39.73% (G:10.94% B:0.50%)
60.27% (G:21.35% B:1.46%)		Conf.: ±0.0019 (-0.4740...-0.4701) - [94.9%]
Duration: 11 hours 14 minutes
2.Rollout113/11 13/10eq: -0.4743 (-0.0023)
Player:
Opponent:		38.92% (G:11.14% B:0.52%)
61.08% (G:19.52% B:1.26%)		Conf.: ±0.0020 (-0.4763...-0.4723) - [5.1%]
Duration: 11 hours 47 minutes
3.Rollout224/22 13/10eq: -0.4951 (-0.0231)
Player:
Opponent:		38.76% (G:10.36% B:0.53%)
61.24% (G:20.32% B:1.01%)		Conf.: ±0.0082 (-0.5033...-0.4869) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 hour 03 minutes
 
1 93312 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 49043482
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 49043482
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Rollout by Taper_Mike
2013-Jan-25
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03
51S-22N-32-tm.xgp
[% D2 Z23 T41 $42 S47 U49 O53 V57]  "<=93*5
[D %7 Z26 T32 O44 U45 $46 S52 V52]  "&e

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03

Eval: [D %6.8 Z26.4] "&e
White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 159
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 161
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b----E-D---cDb--c-c-b-AA-:0:0:1:32:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 32

1.XG Roller++13/11 13/10eq: -0.4689
Player:
Opponent:		38.79% (G:10.68% B:0.46%)
61.21% (G:19.37% B:1.15%)
2.XG Roller++13/11 8/5eq: -0.4757 (-0.0068)
Player:
Opponent:		39.56% (G:10.45% B:0.45%)
60.44% (G:21.15% B:1.40%)
3.XG Roller++24/22 13/10eq: -0.4953 (-0.0264)
Player:
Opponent:		38.76% (G:9.95% B:0.46%)
61.24% (G:20.10% B:0.99%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03

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