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Stack or spread? Opponent has 1 checker back. — 3-ply XG2 Rollout

Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Sunday, 27 January 2013, at 7:19 p.m.

In Response To: Stack or spread? Opponent has 1 checker back. (Taper_Mike)

Weird position.

Indeed. This one started getting strange when my opponent rolled this 22 from the bar, and chose to switch off his 6pt.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 144
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 146
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=aA---bDBC---cC-a---bbAbAb-:1:1:-1:22:0:0:3:0:10
White to play 22

As for the spread-or-stack decision, I am not sure that Blue’s subsequent 6s are the reason why stacking with C (Cross) = 17/13 7/6 comes out on top. I would point to the race — it’s nearly a tie — and note that Blue needs the crossover. Blue should try to play safe from here, but if he has to break the 7pt or 8pt as part of a future attack, so be it.

I should not want to argue too strongly however, because the rollout below is very close.

Mike






White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 112
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 110
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-Ba--BCCBba--B-b-A---bbcb-:2:-1:1:41:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 41

1.Rollout117/13 7/6eq: +0.3811
Player:
Opponent:
69.06% (G:13.62% B:0.23%)
30.94% (G:2.96% B:0.04%)
Conf.: ±0.0015 (+0.3797...+0.3826) - [100.0%]
Duration: 28 minutes 15 seconds
2.Rollout117/13 6/5eq: +0.3768 (-0.0043)
Player:
Opponent:
69.09% (G:13.05% B:0.22%)
30.91% (G:2.96% B:0.04%)
Conf.: ±0.0015 (+0.3753...+0.3783) - [0.0%]
Duration: 27 minutes 21 seconds
 
1 20736 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 16485219
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Rollout by Taper_Mike
2013-Jan-23
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03
Flashcard PositionID 000742.xgp

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03

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