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Safe, Semi-safe, or Bold? - Rollout
Posted By: Chase
Date: Tuesday, 29 January 2013, at 8:55 a.m.
In Response To: Safe, Semi-safe, or Bold? (Chase)
Even at this score and cube position, XG eschews the loose hit. The resulting position is too clumsy. Smooth things out by moving a spare from 7 to 6 or from 7 to 8 and the loose hit is clearly best.

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 1 pip: 94 | | 3 point match | pip: 97 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
| XGID=-B-a-BCDB-A--A---c-db-da--:1:-1:1:21:0:1:0:3:10 |
| Blue to play 21 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 7/6 7/5 | eq: +0.228 |
| Player: Opponent: | 59.83% (G:3.26% B:0.08%) 40.17% (G:3.09% B:0.13%) | Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.225...+0.230) - [100.0%] Duration: 4 minutes 37 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 6/3* | eq: +0.219 (-0.009) |
| Player: Opponent: | 58.57% (G:4.95% B:0.20%) 41.43% (G:10.95% B:0.32%) | Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.215...+0.222) - [0.0%] Duration: 7 minutes 41 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 13/12 7/5 | eq: +0.208 (-0.020) |
| Player: Opponent: | 58.97% (G:2.95% B:0.10%) 41.03% (G:3.60% B:0.20%) | Conf.: ± 0.003 (+0.205...+0.210) - [0.0%] Duration: 3 minutes 36 seconds |
|
| 4. | XG Roller++ | 10/8 7/6 | eq: +0.182 (-0.046) |
| Player: Opponent: | 57.97% (G:2.32% B:0.04%) 42.03% (G:2.43% B:0.04%) | |
|
| 5. | XG Roller++ | 7/5 6/5 | eq: +0.172 (-0.055) |
| Player: Opponent: | 57.22% (G:2.95% B:0.06%) 42.78% (G:3.36% B:0.06%) | |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves and cube decisions: 3-ply
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2
Messages In This Thread
- Safe, Semi-safe, or Bold?
Chase -- Friday, 25 January 2013, at 4:29 a.m.
- Safe, Semi-safe, or Bold?
Michael Depreli -- Friday, 25 January 2013, at 7:26 a.m.
- Safe, Semi-safe, or Bold?
__1ERROR1__ -- Friday, 25 January 2013, at 2:03 p.m.
- Safe, Semi-safe, or Bold? - Rollout
Chase -- Tuesday, 29 January 2013, at 8:55 a.m.
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