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Non Crackhead Rollout?

Posted By: Stick
Date: Wednesday, 3 January 2007, at 2:11 p.m.

In Response To: OLM Tues. Jan. 2nd (Stick)

Your rollouts surprised me. I don't have time to look at the numbers right now because I'm basically out the door but the reason I didn't 'next' this play is because I thought there was a difference in plays!


Match to 25, White leads 7 to 4
83
151
Board image courtesy of GO-Figure

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 8/3 6/3 -0.852
0.0% 0.7% 13.8% 86.2% 18.4% 0.2%
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: -0.902 ±0.013. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 324 games (equiv. 12775 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, with race database.
2 R 12/4 -0.870 (-0.018)
0.0% 0.6% 13.0% 87.0% 18.1% 0.3%
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: -0.917 ±0.013. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 324 games (equiv. 10806 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, with race database.
3 R 8/3 7/4 -0.871 (-0.020)
0.0% 0.7% 13.4% 86.6% 19.1% 0.5%
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: -0.920 ±0.016. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 188 games (equiv. 6827 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, with race database.
4 R 22/14 -0.896 (-0.044)
0.0% 0.6% 11.9% 88.1% 18.0% 0.3%
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: -0.939 ±0.012. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 324 games (equiv. 13530 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, with race database.

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