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BGonline.org Forums
It seems to be redouble day!
Posted By: ah_clem In Response To: It seems to be redouble day! (Michael Depreli)
Date: Wednesday, 30 January 2013, at 10:24 p.m.
Since D/T means the game will be for the match, the raw take point is just the equity for a dropped cube or 24%.
27/36 shakes hit which is 75%, but blue doesn't win all of them. Blue also doesn't lose every time he misses since white can't cube him out.
There's no shortage of market losers, and blue is probably somewhere north of 60% to win so I'd cube this one. Maybe it's incorrect, but some players may drop this.
The take looks clear - 25% misses plus some additional counterplay from blue's homeboard blot.
D/T
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