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One of many interesting decisions from this weekend's telecasts

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Sunday, 3 February 2013, at 1:30 a.m.

In Response To: One of many interesting decisons from this weekend's telecasts (Chuck Bower)

Raw take point is about 27%. Not many gammons and not much recube vig.

From the containment positions in Woolsey's Encyclopedia, I recall that if White has a closed board then the take/drop borderline for money typically occurs when Blue has a slight race deficit and three builders pointed at the open home-board point. Here White's board is busted (somewhat bad for White) but Blue has no immediate threat to close his board, and in fact because of his dead checkers is not a favorite to close his board at all (definitely good for White). So White should have an easy take for money.

Of course this isn't a money game. Still, I think I would take as White. If White comes in and Blue fails to hit then the game turns around. D/T is my play, and I feel more comfortable with the double than the take.

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