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Beaver/Raccoon Effects on the 3rd Roll

Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier
Date: Tuesday, 4 December 2007, at 11:18 p.m.

In Response To: Beaver/Raccoon Effects on the 3rd Roll (Stick)

Perhaps it is. Maybe he wins 10% gammons. He probably wins more than 5%, since I think he's more likely to get a second checker than for White to escape from the bar without getting hit. Maybe he's a 90% favorite to win a single and wins 7.5% gammons. Maybe he's an 85% favorite and wins 5% gammons.

I don't know the real numbers, but they don't look anything close to me, so why do I care if it's off by a little?

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