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Rollout: A matter of priorities

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Saturday, 9 February 2013, at 12:10 a.m.

In Response To: A matter of priorities (Timothy Chow)

OTB I thought like Chuck did and tried to escape with bar/20 6/5.

Now a followup question: suppose we change the position by moving a spare from Blue's midpoint to his 8pt. Same play?





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 143
Money session
Jacoby
pip: 142
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=---aBBCbB---bE---bbc-ba--A:0:0:1:51:0:0:1:0:10
Blue to play 51

1.Rollout1Bar/24 13/8eq: +0.001
Player:
Opponent:
49.24% (G:13.60% B:0.53%)
50.76% (G:12.08% B:0.37%)
Conf: ± 0.013 (-0.012...+0.014)
Duration: 4 hours 46 minutes
2.Rollout1Bar/24 8/3* eq: -0.037 (-0.038)
Player:
Opponent:
48.20% (G:18.45% B:0.78%)
51.80% (G:17.47% B:0.79%)
Conf: ± 0.015 (-0.052...-0.022)
Duration: 4 hours 46 minutes
3.Rollout1Bar/20 6/5eq: -0.064 (-0.065)
Player:
Opponent:
49.07% (G:9.53% B:0.40%)
50.93% (G:12.97% B:0.34%)
Conf: ± 0.014 (-0.078...-0.050)
Duration: 5 hours 29 minutes
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 2
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

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