Assuming that someone else would roll out this position for money, I figured I would post the DMP rollout result. Of the five candidates, W (for Wild, B/21 6/5) does not win the most gammons (irrelevant) and loses the most gammons (irrelevant) but wins the most games (very relevant).
         
 
         
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 161 | | 1 point match | pip: 166
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=-b----E-C--AdD---cae----AA:0:0:1:41:0:0:0:1:10 |
| Blue to play 41 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | Bar/21 6/5 | eq: -0.037 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 48.15% (G:13.33% B:2.15%)
51.85% (G:21.23% B:2.91%) | Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.043...-0.031) - [100.0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 05 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | Bar/21 11/10 | eq: -0.053 (-0.016) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 47.36% (G:13.79% B:1.75%)
52.64% (G:18.45% B:2.46%) | Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.058...-0.047) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 19 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | Bar/21 24/23 | eq: -0.053 (-0.016) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 47.33% (G:13.03% B:1.88%)
52.67% (G:20.30% B:2.53%) | Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.059...-0.048) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 12 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout1 | Bar/20 | eq: -0.055 (-0.018) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 47.23% (G:13.02% B:1.75%)
52.77% (G:20.26% B:2.62%) | Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.061...-0.050) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 18 seconds |
|
| 5. | Rollout1 | Bar/24 13/9 | eq: -0.057 (-0.020) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 47.15% (G:15.75% B:2.35%)
52.85% (G:19.31% B:3.43%) | Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.063...-0.051) - [0.0%]
Duration: 6 minutes 15 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2