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Rollout: I still can't get these priming vs. attacking decisions right

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Thursday, 14 February 2013, at 2:44 a.m.

In Response To: I still can't get these priming vs. attacking decisions right (Timothy Chow)

I guess I need to bluff more, by posting more positions with a match score where the score doesn't make a difference. (A lot of positions that I post come from matches that I play against XG, but since for my own study purposes I always start analyzing my blunders by changing to a money game, the positions usually wind up on BGO as money-game problems, unless the score really makes a difference.)

Here I saw that bar/16 was clearly the DMP play because breaking the bar point just gives White too many ways to wriggle out through the broken prime. I wasn't convinced that it won enough gammons to put it ahead, and indeed for money I think that bar/16 is still the way to go (I didn't roll it out). I grossly underestimated how many more gammons 7/3* would win.





White is eXtremeGammon

score: 6
pip: 119
7 point match
pip: 108
score: 2

Blue is Timothy Chow
XGID=-aBaBBCBB---bA---a-c-bcb-A:1:-1:1:54:2:6:0:7:10
Blue to play 54

1.XG Roller+Bar/20 7/3* eq: +0.778
Player:
Opponent:
66.10% (G:35.54% B:2.15%)
33.90% (G:16.23% B:1.76%)
2.XG Roller+Bar/16eq: +0.636 (-0.141)
Player:
Opponent:
70.01% (G:18.62% B:1.04%)
29.99% (G:7.69% B:0.30%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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