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XGR+: One of many interesting decisons from this weekend's telecasts

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Friday, 15 February 2013, at 1:35 a.m.

In Response To: One of many interesting decisons from this weekend's telecasts (Chuck Bower)

Close enough to merit a rollout, but I'm not going to do one. In light of the pseudocubeless numbers, I'm a little surprised that XGR+ thinks this is a take. I guess there's more recube vig than I expected?





White is Player 2

score: 4
pip: 70
9 point match
pip: 80
score: 2

Blue is Player 1
XGID=aBBCBC------A-A-A--bb-ecb-:1:1:1:00:2:4:0:9:10
Blue on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances: 75.39% (G: 1.52% B: 0.02%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 24.61% (G: 0.49% B: 0.01%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:+0.520
Redouble:+1.042
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:+0.827 (-0.148)
Redouble/Take:+0.975
Redouble/Drop:+1.000 (+0.025)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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