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BGonline.org Forums
Rollout
Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier In Response To: Rollout (Stick)
Date: Thursday, 6 December 2007, at 7:41 a.m.
My claim wasn't that White wins 15% gammons from the starting position. My estimate was that after hitting, White would win 15% gammons with Blue on the bar vs. his 5 point board. The rollout says that White wins 11% gammons, but 14/36 of the time, he's much less than 11% to win a gammon. That means that the other 22/36 of the time, he must be more than 11% to win a gammon, right?
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