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Enough rope to hang myself

Posted By: Chase
Date: Friday, 8 March 2013, at 6:23 p.m.

In Response To: Enough rope to hang myself (Giuliano Pietoso)

I like your play and reasoning. What do you think of 13/8 for the last 5 instead of b/15?

(The play would be b/20, 21/11, 13/8)

I prefer running out with the last man (b/20 21/11 20/16). It's true that White's hits are usually more comfortable if they come in the outfield, but he hits a lot more often if I stay in his home board, and some of those hits (11 22 33 44) back a lot more punch.

But I am hoping to be missed, and if I run, that's usually what happens. And when it does happen, my back checker can nearly almost get to safety. If I'm missed after staying back, I still have the problem of trying to get out safely. The advantage I'm looking for is to be playing with no men back versus White's one man back.

Looked at another way, your play creates a nice spare on the 8pt, but that spare is of limited use if I'm on the bar or trying to scramble the back man to safety. If I run the back man now, it, or a checker from the midpoint or 11pt, is likely to end up on the 8pt soon enough anyway, and at that point, I'll be ready to use it.

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