Thank you very much! Curiously, in the truncated rollout below, 20/15 13/11 doesn't fare so well.
I'm still at a loss as to how to sort through the options in this position. FWIW I tried 20/13 OTB.
| 1. | Rollout1 | 23/21 20/15 | eq: -0.465 |
| Player: Opponent: | 39.30% (G:10.34% B:0.43%) 60.70% (G:19.49% B:1.28%) | Conf: ± 0.009 (-0.474...-0.456) Duration: 18 minutes 30 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 24/22 20/15 | eq: -0.468 (-0.003) |
| Player: Opponent: | 39.02% (G:10.06% B:0.38%) 60.98% (G:20.46% B:1.21%) | Conf: ± 0.009 (-0.477...-0.459) Duration: 18 minutes 23 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 20/15 10/8 | eq: -0.506 (-0.041) |
| Player: Opponent: | 37.76% (G:9.87% B:0.37%) 62.24% (G:19.29% B:1.02%) | Conf: ± 0.009 (-0.515...-0.497) Duration: 18 minutes 52 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout1 | 23/21 13/8 | eq: -0.510 (-0.046) |
| Player: Opponent: | 37.80% (G:10.05% B:0.44%) 62.20% (G:20.83% B:1.53%) | Conf: ± 0.008 (-0.518...-0.502) Duration: 16 minutes 12 seconds |
|
| 5. | Rollout1 | 24/22 13/8 | eq: -0.515 (-0.050) |
| Player: Opponent: | 37.52% (G:10.07% B:0.44%) 62.48% (G:19.74% B:1.25%) | Conf: ± 0.009 (-0.524...-0.506) Duration: 16 minutes 51 seconds |
|
| 6. | Rollout1 | 20/15 13/11 | eq: -0.527 (-0.062) |
| Player: Opponent: | 38.21% (G:10.42% B:0.40%) 61.79% (G:22.23% B:1.80%) | Conf: ± 0.009 (-0.536...-0.518) Duration: 21 minutes 37 seconds |
|
| 7. | Rollout1 | 20/13 | eq: -0.532 (-0.067) |
| Player: Opponent: | 37.07% (G:9.65% B:0.30%) 62.93% (G:17.89% B:0.89%) | Conf: ± 0.009 (-0.541...-0.523) Duration: 20 minutes 19 seconds |
|
| 8. | Rollout1 | 23/21 10/5 | eq: -0.543 (-0.078) |
| Player: Opponent: | 36.97% (G:9.30% B:0.37%) 63.03% (G:21.91% B:1.83%) | Conf: ± 0.011 (-0.554...-0.532) Duration: 10 minutes 52 seconds |
|
| 9. | Rollout1 | 13/8 10/8 | eq: -0.547 (-0.082) |
| Player: Opponent: | 36.33% (G:9.08% B:0.34%) 63.67% (G:18.52% B:1.02%) | Conf: ± 0.008 (-0.555...-0.539) Duration: 14 minutes 46 seconds |
|
| 10. | Rollout1 | 24/22 10/5 | eq: -0.567 (-0.102) |
| Player: Opponent: | 36.62% (G:9.40% B:0.38%) 63.38% (G:22.55% B:1.77%) | Conf: ± 0.011 (-0.578...-0.556) Duration: 11 minutes 04 seconds |
|
| |
1 Truncated at 7 moves using 3 ply. 648 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 2 First 2 moves and cube decisions: 3 ply Remaining moves: 2 ply, cube decisions: 3 ply
|