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GNU rollout and XG trunc don't agree

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Monday, 11 March 2013, at 11:05 p.m.

In Response To: Rollout (playBunny)

Thank you very much! Curiously, in the truncated rollout below, 20/15 13/11 doesn't fare so well.

I'm still at a loss as to how to sort through the options in this position. FWIW I tried 20/13 OTB.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 141
Money session
Jacoby
pip: 162
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--aB--D-B-A-cCa--cbeA--AA-:0:0:1:52:0:0:1:0:10
Blue to play 52

1.Rollout123/21 20/15eq: -0.465
Player:
Opponent:
39.30% (G:10.34% B:0.43%)
60.70% (G:19.49% B:1.28%)
Conf: ± 0.009 (-0.474...-0.456)
Duration: 18 minutes 30 seconds
2.Rollout124/22 20/15eq: -0.468 (-0.003)
Player:
Opponent:
39.02% (G:10.06% B:0.38%)
60.98% (G:20.46% B:1.21%)
Conf: ± 0.009 (-0.477...-0.459)
Duration: 18 minutes 23 seconds
3.Rollout120/15 10/8eq: -0.506 (-0.041)
Player:
Opponent:
37.76% (G:9.87% B:0.37%)
62.24% (G:19.29% B:1.02%)
Conf: ± 0.009 (-0.515...-0.497)
Duration: 18 minutes 52 seconds
4.Rollout123/21 13/8eq: -0.510 (-0.046)
Player:
Opponent:
37.80% (G:10.05% B:0.44%)
62.20% (G:20.83% B:1.53%)
Conf: ± 0.008 (-0.518...-0.502)
Duration: 16 minutes 12 seconds
5.Rollout124/22 13/8eq: -0.515 (-0.050)
Player:
Opponent:
37.52% (G:10.07% B:0.44%)
62.48% (G:19.74% B:1.25%)
Conf: ± 0.009 (-0.524...-0.506)
Duration: 16 minutes 51 seconds
6.Rollout120/15 13/11eq: -0.527 (-0.062)
Player:
Opponent:
38.21% (G:10.42% B:0.40%)
61.79% (G:22.23% B:1.80%)
Conf: ± 0.009 (-0.536...-0.518)
Duration: 21 minutes 37 seconds
7.Rollout120/13eq: -0.532 (-0.067)
Player:
Opponent:
37.07% (G:9.65% B:0.30%)
62.93% (G:17.89% B:0.89%)
Conf: ± 0.009 (-0.541...-0.523)
Duration: 20 minutes 19 seconds
8.Rollout123/21 10/5eq: -0.543 (-0.078)
Player:
Opponent:
36.97% (G:9.30% B:0.37%)
63.03% (G:21.91% B:1.83%)
Conf: ± 0.011 (-0.554...-0.532)
Duration: 10 minutes 52 seconds
9.Rollout113/8 10/8eq: -0.547 (-0.082)
Player:
Opponent:
36.33% (G:9.08% B:0.34%)
63.67% (G:18.52% B:1.02%)
Conf: ± 0.008 (-0.555...-0.539)
Duration: 14 minutes 46 seconds
10.Rollout124/22 10/5eq: -0.567 (-0.102)
Player:
Opponent:
36.62% (G:9.40% B:0.38%)
63.38% (G:22.55% B:1.77%)
Conf: ± 0.011 (-0.578...-0.556)
Duration: 11 minutes 04 seconds
1 Truncated at 7 moves using 3 ply.
648 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 2
First 2 moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Remaining moves: 2 ply, cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

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