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XGR+: How easy is this cube action for both sides?

Posted By: ah_clem
Date: Tuesday, 12 March 2013, at 5:51 p.m.

In Response To: XGR+: How easy is this cube action for both sides? (Timothy Chow)

A longer rollout says it's a whopper to re-cube.





White is Player 2

score: 1
pip: 71
7 point match
pip: 27
score: 2

Blue is Player 1
XGID=--A----------a----accbc-bA:1:1:1:00:2:1:0:7:3
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 71.09% (G:6.02% B:1.31%) 70.87% (G:6.41% B:1.95%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 28.91% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 29.13% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Cubeless Equities +0.506 +0.997
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.739±0.007 (+0.732..+0.747)
Redouble/Take:+0.626 (-0.114)±0.011 (+0.614..+0.637)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.261)
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 23.3%
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 27 minutes 48 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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