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Rollout: I always seem to choose poorly

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Thursday, 14 March 2013, at 3:07 p.m.

In Response To: I always seem to choose poorly (Timothy Chow)

Giving White a 17-to-1 shot here isn't a big deal, but I thought it was worth holding the prime a turn to try to get White to collapse a bit if she rolled a 6. But 10/5 6/3 risks an immediate horror roll (65) as well as greater future blotting danger.

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 133 Money session Jacoby pip: 87 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=--cBBCCBB-A-----aa-e-bc---:1:-1:1:53:0:0:1:0:10
Blue to play 53

1.	Rollout1	8/5 8/3	eq: +0.887
	Player: Opponent: 88.54% (G:16.04% B:0.57%) 11.46% (G:0.42% B:0.01%) Conf: ± 0.006 (+0.881...+0.893) Duration: 1 hour 59 minutes
2.	Rollout1	10/5 6/3	eq: +0.854 (-0.033)
	Player: Opponent: 87.56% (G:15.38% B:0.47%) 12.44% (G:0.71% B:0.03%) Conf: ± 0.005 (+0.849...+0.859) Duration: 2 hours 18 minutes
3.	Rollout1	10/7 6/1	eq: +0.804 (-0.083)
	Player: Opponent: 85.50% (G:15.23% B:0.34%) 14.50% (G:0.73% B:0.02%) Conf: ± 0.006 (+0.798...+0.810) Duration: 1 hour 47 minutes
1 2033 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 2 Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

Messages In This Thread

• I always seem to choose poorly
  Timothy Chow -- Monday, 11 March 2013, at 11:35 p.m.
  • I always seem to choose poorly
    konstantin -- Tuesday, 12 March 2013, at 8:19 a.m.
    • I always seem to choose poorly
      neilkaz -- Tuesday, 12 March 2013, at 7:07 p.m.
  • I always seem to choose poorly
    ah_clem -- Tuesday, 12 March 2013, at 2:12 p.m.
  • Rollout: I always seem to choose poorly
    Timothy Chow -- Thursday, 14 March 2013, at 3:07 p.m.