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NG-52Q-51 — Unlimited Games — 3-ply XG2 Rollout

Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Sunday, 24 March 2013, at 12:17 a.m.

In Response To: OLM 2013-03-06 ROLLOUT (mamabear)

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 187 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 194 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aaa--DaC---dD---c-d---BB-:0:0:1:51:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 51

1.	Rollout1	8/3* 3/2*	eq: -0.119
	Player: Opponent: 46.92% (G:13.98% B:0.79%) 53.08% (G:15.59% B:0.87%) Conf.: ± 0.003 (-0.123...-0.116) - [100.0%] Duration: 9 hours 02 minutes
2.	Rollout1	8/7* 7/2*	eq: -0.127 (-0.008)
	Player: Opponent: 46.95% (G:13.27% B:0.67%) 53.05% (G:15.46% B:0.83%) Conf.: ± 0.003 (-0.131...-0.124) - [0.0%] Duration: 9 hours 01 minute
3.	Rollout1	23/22 13/8	eq: -0.128 (-0.009)
	Player: Opponent: 46.91% (G:12.47% B:0.52%) 53.09% (G:14.50% B:0.74%) Conf.: ± 0.003 (-0.131...-0.125) - [0.0%] Duration: 7 hours 44 minutes
4.	Rollout2	24/18	eq: -0.133 (-0.014)
	Player: Opponent: 47.03% (G:11.80% B:0.48%) 52.97% (G:14.55% B:0.66%) Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.137...-0.129) - [0.0%] Duration: 5 hours 24 minutes
5.	Rollout3	23/22 23/18	eq: -0.146 (-0.027)
	Player: Opponent: 46.89% (G:11.95% B:0.55%) 53.11% (G:15.37% B:0.88%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.152...-0.141) - [0.0%] Duration: 2 hours 32 minutes
6.	Rollout3	23/18 8/7*	eq: -0.147 (-0.027)
	Player: Opponent: 46.98% (G:12.05% B:0.53%) 53.02% (G:15.85% B:0.87%) Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.152...-0.141) - [0.0%] Duration: 3 hours 11 minutes
7.	Rollout3	13/7*	eq: -0.148 (-0.029)
	Player: Opponent: 46.84% (G:12.55% B:0.59%) 53.16% (G:15.83% B:0.91%) Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.154...-0.142) - [0.0%] Duration: 3 hours 08 minutes
8.	Rollout3	8/7* 8/3*	eq: -0.150 (-0.031)
	Player: Opponent: 46.72% (G:13.49% B:0.76%) 53.28% (G:16.84% B:1.04%) Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.156...-0.143) - [0.0%] Duration: 3 hours 11 minutes
9.	Rollout4	8/7* 6/1*	eq: -0.166 (-0.047)
	Player: Opponent: 46.26% (G:13.13% B:0.53%) 53.74% (G:16.40% B:0.96%) Conf.: ± 0.011 (-0.177...-0.156) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 hour 04 minutes
1 46656 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 89502711 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 31104 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 89502711 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 3 15552 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 89502711 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 4 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 89502711 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Rollout by Taper_Mike 2013-Mar-21 eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03 NG-52Q-51-tm.xgp [k k8 Z9 u14 U27 X27 H29 K31 K47] "<=46**31 15**5

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03

NG-52Q-51 — Unlimited Games

Bot	Seed	Equity	Nacbracs	Link
XG 2.03 3-ply, Cubes: XGR	89502711	–119.1	[k k8 Z9 u14 U27 X27 H29 K31 K47] "<=46**31 15**5	Taper_Mike (above)

NG-52Q-51 — Nactation Key

Family	Nactation	Traditional Notation	Note
Both	B	23/18, 8/7*
Down	D	13/7*
Hit	H	13/7*
Kill	K	8/7*, 8/3*	Any double hit that includes hitting on the 7pt beats a double hit that does not.
Kill	k	8/7*/2*	Hitting on the 2pt ranks below hitting on the 3pt.
Kill	K	8/7*, 6/1*	Similarly, hitting on the 1pt ranks below hitting on the 2pt.
Kill	k	8/3*/2*	The best backgammon plays is the runt in the K (Kill ) family!
Up	U	23/22, 23/18
Up	u	24/18
Hit and split	X	23/18, 8/7*
Reverse split	Z	23/22, 13/8
Reverse split	z	24/23, 13/8

Mary: It's interesting to me that the double hits ending on the deuce point performed as well as they did, because to me they look just awful. Ironically, a more cogent assessment is that the double hits ending on the deuce point performed as poorly as they did only because of the match score. In unlimited games, they do much better, coming out atop the rollout. I’m with you, though. My impression was that they went too deep at a time when there are only 7 checkers in the zone. Mike

Messages In This Thread

• OLM 2013-03-06
  Jason Lee -- Wednesday, 6 March 2013, at 11:42 p.m.
  • OLM 2013-03-06
    mamabear -- Thursday, 7 March 2013, at 12:29 a.m.
  • OLM 2013-03-06
    Chuck Bower -- Thursday, 7 March 2013, at 2:59 a.m.
  • OLM 2013-03-06
    Chase -- Thursday, 7 March 2013, at 6:39 a.m.
  • OLM 2013-03-06
    Rodney Lighton -- Thursday, 7 March 2013, at 8:24 a.m.
  • OLM 2013-03-06
    Taper_Mike -- Thursday, 7 March 2013, at 9:01 a.m.
    • OLM 2013-03-06 — Nactation Correction
      Taper_Mike -- Thursday, 7 March 2013, at 9:15 a.m.
  • OLM 2013-03-06
    Casper van der Tak -- Thursday, 7 March 2013, at 11:36 a.m.
    • OLM 2013-03-06
      neilkaz -- Friday, 8 March 2013, at 3:55 a.m.
      • OLM 2013-03-06
        Taper_Mike -- Friday, 8 March 2013, at 5:08 a.m.
        • OLM 2013-03-06
          Casper van der Tak -- Friday, 8 March 2013, at 11:44 a.m.
  • OLM 2013-03-06
    lenny -- Friday, 8 March 2013, at 3:40 a.m.
  • OLM 2013-03-06
    Havard Raddum -- Friday, 8 March 2013, at 9:36 a.m.
  • OLM 2013-03-06 ROLLOUT
    Jason Lee -- Monday, 18 March 2013, at 1:18 a.m.
    • OLM 2013-03-06 ROLLOUT
      mamabear -- Monday, 18 March 2013, at 2:07 a.m.
      • NG-52Q-51 — Unlimited Games — 3-ply XG2 Rollout
        Taper_Mike -- Sunday, 24 March 2013, at 12:17 a.m.