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Rollout: I have all day to get my back checker out

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Monday, 25 March 2013, at 11:45 p.m.

In Response To: I have all day to get my back checker out (Timothy Chow)

XGR+ version 1 takes this but the rollout says it's a clear pass. White wins close to a third of the time but her outfield blots cost her a lot of gammons.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 104
Money session
Jacoby
pip: 126
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=a-BB-CBB-A-a-----abccBbbA-:1:1:1:00:0:0:1:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances: 67.47% (G: 33.90% B: 2.08%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 32.53% (G: 10.53% B: 0.77%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 68.59% (G: 35.41% B: 2.03%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 31.41% (G: 10.06% B: 0.81%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:+0.596
Redouble:+1.275
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:+0.793 (-0.207)
Redouble/Take:+1.080 (+0.080)
Redouble/Drop:+1.000
Best Cube action: Redouble / Drop
Rollout details
2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 2
Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Redouble: ± 0.009 (+0.783...+0.802)
Confidence Redouble: ± 0.020 (+1.060...+1.100)
Double Decision confidence: 100.0%
Take Decision confidence: 100.0%
Duration: 6 hours 18 minutes

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21

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