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*Rollout* 2 Good or Not 2 Good?

Posted By: Philippe Michel
Date: Saturday, 30 March 2013, at 10:29 p.m.

In Response To: *Rollout* 2 Good or Not 2 Good? (Dmitriy Obukhov)

Detailed statistics for no double (1296 trials):

cube Blue S Blue G White S White G
1 126 757 144 0
2+ 36 34 188 11

cube Blue D/T Blue D/P White D/T White D/P
2 2 126 257 144
4 7 32 0 0
8 0 0 3 1

Games with hit by Blue White
397 423
avg move nb of 1st hit 7.13 2.08

Rollout result is identical to XG's :

The score (after 0 games) is: GNUbg 0, You 2 (match to 7 points)

Move number 2: You on roll, cube decision?

GNUbg154

 ' ' ' '2X2X '2X2X1X1O '

4O2O5O3O '1X ' ' '2X '3X
You49
Position ID: sNniDAFv3wEIAA Match ID: cAngAAAAEAAE

• You doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity +1.053(Money: +1.086)
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, pass +1.000
2.Double, take +1.917 +0.917
3.No double +0.903 -0.097
Proper cube action:Double, pass
Rollout details
WinW gW bg LoseL gL bgCubelessCubeful
Centered 1-cube0.7360.6310.000-0.2640.0160.000 +1.053 +0.903
Standard error0.0010.0020.000-0.0010.0010.000 0.003 0.005
Player GNUbg owns 2-cube0.7430.6320.000-0.2570.0140.000 +2.237 +1.917
Standard error0.0010.0020.000-0.0010.0010.000 0.007 0.008
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 678741249 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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