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Cube action?

Posted By: ah_clem
Date: Monday, 8 April 2013, at 1:40 p.m.

In Response To: Cube action? (John O'Hagan)

Assuming the auto-recube, I calculate brown's raw takepoint to be 4/46 or about 9%.

The reference position of being closed out on the bar with 4 off gives about 15% GWC - here brown seems a bit worse since the reference position assumes brown never misses a bearoff and won't have a second checker sent back. Of course, if brown manages to get a shot he has better containment than in the reference position, but I don't think this makes up for the race deficit.

Also, white has a checker off already, which makes a small difference, but not that much.

I think the take is clear. 66 and 55 and maybe 44 seem to be the only market losers, so I'd take a shake. I'm not sure how to calculate it, but the market window is probably very narrow AtS and I'd err on the side of cashing.

ND/T

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