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safecracker

Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Tuesday, 9 April 2013, at 8:02 a.m.

In Response To: safecracker (GSD)





White is Player 2

score: 4
pip: 134
7 point match
pip: 130
score: 1

Blue is Player 1
XGID=---BBBBbB--AbB--bb-fAA-a--:0:0:1:21:1:4:0:7:10
Blue to play 21

How bad is 21/18?

I don’t recall where 21/18 came out in the eval (I took a peek after I posted), but my guess is that it must be weaker than anchoring.

White’s position is very brittle. Safe play is going to be difficult for him. Yet that is what he desires. The last thing White wants to do is trade hits when he is outboarded 4 to 1. Anything that makes it easier for White to play safely on this turn is going to be wrong.

Blue wants to maximize return shots. Forcing White to hit inside is the way to do that. Coming out to the bar point gives White a chance to hit outside. In general, that will be safer for White. In addition, coming out to the bar point invites a double hit.

When Blue comes out to the bar point, there are also many hit-and-cover sequences. White can hit with any 1, 2, or 6. After that, with a White checker sitting on his bar point, White can cover the blot on his 2pt with any 4, 5, or 6.

Mike

Messages In This Thread

  • safecracker
    Keene -- Saturday, 6 April 2013, at 9:55 p.m.
    • safecracker
      Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 7 April 2013, at 2:42 a.m.
      • safecracker
        Taper_Mike -- Sunday, 7 April 2013, at 7:28 a.m.
        • safecracker
          GSD -- Tuesday, 9 April 2013, at 4:13 a.m.
          • safecracker
            Taper_Mike -- Tuesday, 9 April 2013, at 8:02 a.m.
            • safecracker
              Taper_Mike -- Tuesday, 9 April 2013, at 8:07 a.m.
    • safecracker
      Keene -- Monday, 8 April 2013, at 4:38 a.m.
    • safecracker
      ah_clem -- Monday, 8 April 2013, at 2:30 p.m.

 

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