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Rollout

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Thursday, 11 April 2013, at 7:14 p.m.

In Response To: Cube action? (John O'Hagan)

I redoubled this vs. XGR+ but it's better to take a roll vs. an even opponent. Probably correct to recube against a better player since White's position is pretty easy to play.

is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 124
13 point match
pip: 123
score: 0

is Player 1
XGID=a-bD-CBB---A-A----bbcabBb-:1:1:1:00:0:0:0:13:10
on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 64.27% (G:22.99% B:1.35%) 64.41% (G:23.01% B:1.71%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 35.73% (G:11.21% B:0.68%) 35.59% (G:11.34% B:0.70%)
Cubeless Equities +0.415 +0.834
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.660±0.008 (+0.652..+0.668)
Redouble/Take:+0.616 (-0.044)±0.016 (+0.599..+0.632)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.340)
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 10.3%
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 14 minutes 52 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00, MET: Kazaross XG2

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