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More rollouts

Posted By: Petter Bengtsson
Date: Sunday, 14 April 2013, at 8:03 a.m.

In Response To: Rollout: A difficult tradeoff to evaluate? (Timothy Chow)

13/9(4) is best at GS. Switching is best at the other three scores. Making the 5-point is not best at anyone of these four scores.

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 126 2 point match Crawford pip: 121 score: 1 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BaBB-B-bA--bD--B--d-cab--:0:0:1:44:1:0:1:2:10
Blue to play 44

1.	Rollout1	13/9(4)	eq: +0,203
	Player: Opponent: 66,38% (G:18,99% B:0,65%) 33,62% (G:6,21% B:0,22%) Conf.: ± 0,006 (+0,198...+0,209) - [100,0%] Duration: 4 minutes 27 seconds
2.	Rollout1	13/9(2) 6/2*(2)	eq: +0,166 (-0,037)
	Player: Opponent: 66,92% (G:25,07% B:0,07%) 33,08% (G:8,61% B:0,39%) Conf.: ± 0,006 (+0,160...+0,172) - [0,0%] Duration: 4 minutes 21 seconds
3.	Rollout1	13/5(2)	eq: +0,153 (-0,050)
	Player: Opponent: 64,80% (G:22,12% B:0,63%) 35,20% (G:7,16% B:0,27%) Conf.: ± 0,005 (+0,148...+0,158) - [0,0%] Duration: 4 minutes 15 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 13579 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 126 1 point match pip: 121 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BaBB-B-bA--bD--B--d-cab--:0:0:1:44:0:0:0:1:10
Blue to play 44

1.	Rollout1	13/9(2) 6/2*(2)	eq: +0,328
	Player: Opponent: 66,42% (G:23,96% B:0,05%) 33,58% (G:7,90% B:0,36%) Conf.: ± 0,004 (+0,324...+0,333) - [100,0%] Duration: 4 minutes 14 seconds
2.	Rollout1	13/9(4)	eq: +0,316 (-0,012)
	Player: Opponent: 65,81% (G:13,75% B:0,29%) 34,19% (G:4,52% B:0,12%) Conf.: ± 0,004 (+0,312...+0,320) - [0,0%] Duration: 4 minutes 30 seconds
3.	Rollout1	13/5(2)	eq: +0,287 (-0,042)
	Player: Opponent: 64,34% (G:21,10% B:0,43%) 35,66% (G:6,71% B:0,16%) Conf.: ± 0,004 (+0,283...+0,291) - [0,0%] Duration: 4 minutes 14 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 13579 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

		White is Player 2 score: 1 pip: 126 2 point match Crawford pip: 121 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BaBB-B-bA--bD--B--d-cab--:0:0:1:44:0:1:1:2:10
Blue to play 44

1.	Rollout1	13/9(2) 6/2*(2)	eq: +0,719
	Player: Opponent: 67,19% (G:18,78% B:0,27%) 32,81% (G:8,42% B:0,54%) Conf.: ± 0,006 (+0,713...+0,726) - [100,0%] Duration: 3 minutes 56 seconds
2.	Rollout1	13/5(2)	eq: +0,674 (-0,045)
	Player: Opponent: 64,46% (G:19,25% B:0,55%) 35,54% (G:7,22% B:0,31%) Conf.: ± 0,006 (+0,668...+0,680) - [0,0%] Duration: 3 minutes 39 seconds
3.	Rollout1	13/9(4)	eq: +0,522 (-0,197)
	Player: Opponent: 66,34% (G:9,77% B:0,22%) 33,66% (G:4,22% B:0,20%) Conf.: ± 0,005 (+0,517...+0,527) - [0,0%] Duration: 4 minutes 03 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 13579 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 126 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 121 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BaBB-B-bA--bD--B--d-cab--:0:0:1:44:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 44

1.	Rollout1	13/9(2) 6/2*(2)	eq: +0,691
	Player: Opponent: 67,40% (G:19,12% B:0,27%) 32,60% (G:7,72% B:0,26%) Conf.: ± 0,010 (+0,681...+0,700) - [100,0%] Duration: 3 minutes 10 seconds
2.	Rollout1	13/5(2)	eq: +0,597 (-0,094)
	Player: Opponent: 64,59% (G:19,22% B:0,31%) 35,41% (G:6,40% B:0,17%) Conf.: ± 0,016 (+0,581...+0,612) - [0,0%] Duration: 5 minutes 11 seconds
3.	Rollout1	13/9(4)	eq: +0,587 (-0,103)
	Player: Opponent: 66,18% (G:10,64% B:0,18%) 33,82% (G:4,15% B:0,11%) Conf.: ± 0,012 (+0,575...+0,599) - [0,0%] Duration: 6 minutes 21 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 13579 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

Messages In This Thread

• A difficult tradeoff to evaluate?
  Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 13 April 2013, at 1:02 a.m.
  • A difficult tradeoff to evaluate?
    ah_clem -- Saturday, 13 April 2013, at 1:59 a.m.
  • A difficult tradeoff to evaluate?
    onur alan -- Saturday, 13 April 2013, at 7:04 a.m.
  • A difficult tradeoff to evaluate?
    Chuck Bower -- Saturday, 13 April 2013, at 12:52 p.m.
    • A difficult tradeoff to evaluate? -- further thought
      Chuck Bower -- Saturday, 13 April 2013, at 12:54 p.m.
  • A difficult tradeoff to evaluate?
    Phil Simborg -- Saturday, 13 April 2013, at 1:54 p.m.
  • A difficult tradeoff to evaluate?
    Chase -- Saturday, 13 April 2013, at 1:58 p.m.
  • A difficult tradeoff to evaluate?
    Taper_Mike -- Saturday, 13 April 2013, at 8:38 p.m.
  • Rollout: A difficult tradeoff to evaluate?
    Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 14 April 2013, at 2:32 a.m.
    • More rollouts
      Petter Bengtsson -- Sunday, 14 April 2013, at 8:03 a.m.