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QUICK ROLLOUT

Posted By: ah_clem
Date: Tuesday, 16 April 2013, at 7:47 p.m.

In Response To: QUICK ROLLOUT (Snua)

I'm still not understanding what all the "furore' (or however yous spell it) is about.

Blue wins when he hits - that's 22/36 or 61%. Blue wins a gammon when he hits twice immediately - that's 2/36 or about 5% Blue also wins a gammon when he hits once, white dances, and he hits. If he has a single shot that's about .6* .3 * .3 for about another 6% gammons, but often it's double shot, so let's say 8%.

That give us 13% gammons with one iteration of the dance/shot cycle. White may dance many times, withe correspondenly smaller probablitites to give us another couple of percent gammons.

Altogether it adds up to about 17% gammons or so. Then it's just arithmetic.

Messages In This Thread

• This position is causing a furore in the British backgammon world
  Snua -- Monday, 15 April 2013, at 12:31 p.m.
  • This position is causing a furore in the British backgammon world
    Timothy Chow -- Monday, 15 April 2013, at 2:21 p.m.
  • This position is causing a furore in the British backgammon world
    Phil Simborg -- Monday, 15 April 2013, at 3:02 p.m.
    • This position is causing a furore in the British backgammon world
      Bob koca -- Monday, 15 April 2013, at 7:13 p.m.
      • This position is causing a furore in the British backgammon world
        Dmitriy Obukhov -- Monday, 15 April 2013, at 9:50 p.m.
        • This position is causing a furore in the British backgammon world
          Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 16 April 2013, at 12:04 a.m.
    • This position is causing a furore in the British backgammon world
      storm -- Tuesday, 16 April 2013, at 8:20 a.m.
  • This position is causing a furore in the British backgammon world
    Casper van der Tak -- Monday, 15 April 2013, at 3:16 p.m.
    • This position is causing a furore in the British backgammon world
      Snua -- Monday, 15 April 2013, at 3:37 p.m.
      • This position is causing a furore in the British backgammon world
        Casper van der Tak -- Monday, 15 April 2013, at 4:04 p.m.
        • This position is causing a furore in the British backgammon world
          Bob Koca -- Monday, 15 April 2013, at 4:06 p.m.
        • This position is causing a furore in the British backgammon world
          Bob koca -- Monday, 15 April 2013, at 7:18 p.m.
  • This position is causing a furore in the British backgammon world
    Stick -- Monday, 15 April 2013, at 4:03 p.m.
  • This position is causing a furore in the British backgammon world
    ah_clem -- Monday, 15 April 2013, at 4:27 p.m.
    • This position is causing a furore in the British backgammon world
      ah_clem -- Monday, 15 April 2013, at 5:05 p.m.
      • This position is causing a furore in the British backgammon world
        ah_clem -- Monday, 15 April 2013, at 5:22 p.m.
  • QUICK ROLLOUT
    Snua -- Tuesday, 16 April 2013, at 5:54 p.m.
    • QUICK ROLLOUT
      ah_clem -- Tuesday, 16 April 2013, at 7:47 p.m.
      • QUICK ROLLOUT
        Snua -- Tuesday, 16 April 2013, at 7:51 p.m.
      • QUICK ROLLOUT
        Christian Munk-Christensen -- Wednesday, 17 April 2013, at 6:11 a.m.
    • QUICK ROLLOUT
      Daniel Murphy -- Wednesday, 17 April 2013, at 4:32 a.m.