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QUICK ROLLOUT

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Wednesday, 17 April 2013, at 4:32 a.m.

In Response To: QUICK ROLLOUT (Snua)

The score (after 0 games) is: White 0, Blue 0

Move number 4: Blue on roll, cube decision?

White	49
Blue	116
Position ID: 785FAAC27QIABw Match ID: UQkAAAAAAAAA

Alert: missed double ( -0.070)! [very bad]

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.335
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	+0.513
2.	Double, pass	+1.000	+0.487
3.	No double	+0.444	-0.070
Proper cube action:		Redouble, take
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Player Blue owns 2-cube 0.601 0.171 0.005 - 0.399 0.043 0.000 +0.335 +0.444 Standard error 0.001 0.002 0.000 - 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.003 0.003 Player White owns 4-cube 0.610 0.172 0.004 - 0.390 0.048 0.000 +0.697 +0.513 Standard error 0.001 0.002 0.000 - 0.001 0.000 0.000 0.006 0.006
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 675675828 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Annotation

Cube analysis
2-ply cubeless equity +0.267
0.587 0.143 0.002 - 0.413 0.053 0.000
Cubeful equities:
1. No double +0.360
2. Double, pass +1.000 ( +0.640)
3. Double, take +0.348 ( -0.011)
Proper cube action: No redouble, take (1.8%)

Messages In This Thread

• This position is causing a furore in the British backgammon world
  Snua -- Monday, 15 April 2013, at 12:31 p.m.
  • This position is causing a furore in the British backgammon world
    Timothy Chow -- Monday, 15 April 2013, at 2:21 p.m.
  • This position is causing a furore in the British backgammon world
    Phil Simborg -- Monday, 15 April 2013, at 3:02 p.m.
    • This position is causing a furore in the British backgammon world
      Bob koca -- Monday, 15 April 2013, at 7:13 p.m.
      • This position is causing a furore in the British backgammon world
        Dmitriy Obukhov -- Monday, 15 April 2013, at 9:50 p.m.
        • This position is causing a furore in the British backgammon world
          Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 16 April 2013, at 12:04 a.m.
    • This position is causing a furore in the British backgammon world
      storm -- Tuesday, 16 April 2013, at 8:20 a.m.
  • This position is causing a furore in the British backgammon world
    Casper van der Tak -- Monday, 15 April 2013, at 3:16 p.m.
    • This position is causing a furore in the British backgammon world
      Snua -- Monday, 15 April 2013, at 3:37 p.m.
      • This position is causing a furore in the British backgammon world
        Casper van der Tak -- Monday, 15 April 2013, at 4:04 p.m.
        • This position is causing a furore in the British backgammon world
          Bob Koca -- Monday, 15 April 2013, at 4:06 p.m.
        • This position is causing a furore in the British backgammon world
          Bob koca -- Monday, 15 April 2013, at 7:18 p.m.
  • This position is causing a furore in the British backgammon world
    Stick -- Monday, 15 April 2013, at 4:03 p.m.
  • This position is causing a furore in the British backgammon world
    ah_clem -- Monday, 15 April 2013, at 4:27 p.m.
    • This position is causing a furore in the British backgammon world
      ah_clem -- Monday, 15 April 2013, at 5:05 p.m.
      • This position is causing a furore in the British backgammon world
        ah_clem -- Monday, 15 April 2013, at 5:22 p.m.
  • QUICK ROLLOUT
    Snua -- Tuesday, 16 April 2013, at 5:54 p.m.
    • QUICK ROLLOUT
      ah_clem -- Tuesday, 16 April 2013, at 7:47 p.m.
      • QUICK ROLLOUT
        Snua -- Tuesday, 16 April 2013, at 7:51 p.m.
      • QUICK ROLLOUT
        Christian Munk-Christensen -- Wednesday, 17 April 2013, at 6:11 a.m.
    • QUICK ROLLOUT
      Daniel Murphy -- Wednesday, 17 April 2013, at 4:32 a.m.