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Posted By: Rod In Response To: position 303 from Advanced Backgammon - as tough now as in 1991? (Rod)
Date: Tuesday, 30 April 2013, at 12:20 p.m.
White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 31Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaverpip: 112
score: 0
Blue is Player 1XGID=-EBB--aA----A---AA--b-AAb-:1:1:1:15:0:0:3:0:10 Blue to play 15
1. Rollout1 17/12 7/6* eq: -1.282
Player:
Opponent:10.93% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
89.07% (G:48.37% B:6.27%)Conf.: ± 0.008 (-1.289...-1.274) - [100.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 51 seconds2. Rollout1 22/21 12/7 eq: -1.310 (-0.029)
Player:
Opponent:10.33% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
89.67% (G:50.92% B:5.08%)Conf.: ± 0.009 (-1.319...-1.302) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 38 seconds3. Rollout1 16/11 7/6* eq: -1.346 (-0.065)
Player:
Opponent:10.92% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
89.08% (G:50.22% B:10.64%)Conf.: ± 0.008 (-1.355...-1.338) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 00 second4. Rollout1 7/6* 6/1 eq: -1.465 (-0.183)
Player:
Opponent:4.59% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
95.41% (G:52.30% B:5.23%)Conf.: ± 0.005 (-1.470...-1.460) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 42 seconds5. XG Roller+ 17/16 12/7 eq: -1.374 (-0.092)
Player:
Opponent:8.31% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
91.69% (G:52.53% B:4.41%)1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG RollereXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
Robertie correctly says the pick and pass is a poor choice. That's quite clear without an analysis.
His 2nd play, which he also discards, is hit 16/11.
His top play is 12/7 22/21.
However, he completely ignores the hit 17/12. And that's what caused me to enter the position. But it seemed like there was some merit to it. I think its just so hard to win this game without remaking the 6, for starters. And this is the perfect time and roll to give it a shot.
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