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RO

Posted By: Rod
Date: Tuesday, 30 April 2013, at 12:20 p.m.

In Response To: position 303 from Advanced Backgammon - as tough now as in 1991? (Rod)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 31
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 112
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-EBB--aA----A---AA--b-AAb-:1:1:1:15:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 15

1.Rollout117/12 7/6* eq: -1.282
Player:
Opponent:
10.93% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
89.07% (G:48.37% B:6.27%)
Conf.: ± 0.008 (-1.289...-1.274) - [100.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 51 seconds
2.Rollout122/21 12/7eq: -1.310 (-0.029)
Player:
Opponent:
10.33% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
89.67% (G:50.92% B:5.08%)
Conf.: ± 0.009 (-1.319...-1.302) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 38 seconds
3.Rollout116/11 7/6* eq: -1.346 (-0.065)
Player:
Opponent:
10.92% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
89.08% (G:50.22% B:10.64%)
Conf.: ± 0.008 (-1.355...-1.338) - [0.0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 00 second
4.Rollout17/6* 6/1eq: -1.465 (-0.183)
Player:
Opponent:
4.59% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
95.41% (G:52.30% B:5.23%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (-1.470...-1.460) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 42 seconds
5.XG Roller+17/16 12/7eq: -1.374 (-0.092)
Player:
Opponent:
8.31% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
91.69% (G:52.53% B:4.41%)
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

Robertie correctly says the pick and pass is a poor choice. That's quite clear without an analysis.

His 2nd play, which he also discards, is hit 16/11.

His top play is 12/7 22/21.

However, he completely ignores the hit 17/12. And that's what caused me to enter the position. But it seemed like there was some merit to it. I think its just so hard to win this game without remaking the 6, for starters. And this is the perfect time and roll to give it a shot.

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