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BGonline.org Forums
5a 3a recube to 4?
Posted By: Dmitriy Obukhov In Response To: 5a 3a recube to 4? (ah_clem)
Date: Friday, 3 May 2013, at 7:31 p.m.
Takepoint is 33%.
Redouble point: 16/41or just under 40. Furthermore, ocasional gammon loss pushes it even lower. Perhaps to 35-3% range.
He has 13 numbers that are huge market losers. When he misses, she has 11-12 numbers that leave a shot or sometimes even two. This is equivalent of about 3 more hits right away, bringing his hit chances to about 45% in 3ply. There are more shot sequences after. Lets say he hits about 50% and wins less than 90% of those on average. His win rate seems to be under 45%. Is it enough to redouble? Given the size of market losers, redoubling seems right to me.
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