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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Saturday, 6 January 2007, at 4:56 a.m.

In Response To: 51S-62S-42? (Stick)

As noted an opening 6-2 4-2 the correct response is to hit, but only by .02 (almost). Here we've already split our back men and stacked another man on our 8 pt. This stackage + vulnerability makes making the 4 pt. correct by a country mile.

Money Game
159
161
Board image courtesy of GO-Figure

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 8/4 6/4 0.075
0.6% 15.2% 50.9% 49.1% 11.2% 0.5%
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.059 ±0.006. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 5184 games (equiv. 178213 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, with race database.
2 R 13/7* 0.008 (-0.067)
0.8% 14.6% 49.8% 50.2% 13.5% 0.7%
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.008 ±0.007. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 5184 games (equiv. 158632 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, with race database.

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